Punjab National Bank Limited - Technofunda | Globe Capital Market LTD.
17-Nov-2021
Punjab National Bank Limited – Technofunda

At the CMP of Rs 39.50 the stock is trading at P/BV multiple of only 0.47 times with book value of Rs 81.56.

Overview and Recommendation

Brief:

The bank has done adequate provisioning for future. At the CMP of Rs 39.50 the stock is trading at P/BV multiple of only 0.47 times with book value of Rs 81.56.

Profile:

Punjab National Bank (PNB), India’s first Swadeshi Bank, commenced its operations on April 12, 1895 from Lahore, with an authorised capital of Rs 2 lac and working capital of Rs 20,000. The Bank was established by the spirit of nationalism and was the first bank purely managed by Indians with Indian Capital. During the long history of the Bank, 9 banks have been merged with PNB. As at the end of Marchr’2021, all branches of both eOBC and eUNI have been upgraded from Finacle 7 to Finacle 10 under CBS and are integrated with PNB to function as a single entity. More than 18 Crore Customers of the Bank are currently on the same platform.

Key Triggers:

Raised money through QIPs: Punjab National Bank has raised Rs. 1,800 crore by selling 53 crore shares on a private placement basis to investors like LIC and Societe Generale. Eligible Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIBs) were given the share at an issue price of Rs. 33.75 per unit. Societe Generale of France picked up 23.22% (12.3 crore shares) of the total share offering, followed by LIC which bought 22.2% (11.8 crore shares), and another French firm BNP Paribas garnered 13.3% (7.1 crore shares). Morgan Stanley Asia Fund 8.33% , Kuner India Fund and Segantii India Mauritius 5.56% each, while Vikasa India EIF secured 5% of the QIP.

Strong Distribution Networks: The Bank has strong distribution network in PAN India basis 10925 Domestic & 2 International Branches, 13914 ATMs & 12346 BCs.

Improved Asset Quality: Gross Non Performing Assets (GNPA) has declined to Rs. 94479 Crore as on Dec’20 from Rs. 96314 Crore as on Sep’20. Net Non Performing Assets (NNPA) has declined to Rs. 26598 Crore as on Dec’20 from Rs. 30920 Crore as on Sep’20. Provision Coverage Ratio (PCR) excluding TWO improved to 71.85% as on Dec’20 from 67.90% as on Sep’20 and 58.25% on Dec’19. Credit Cost stood at 2.05% in Dec’20.

CRAR as on December, 2020 improved to 13.88%. Out of which, Tier-I CRAR is 10.90%, CET-I is 10.12% and Tier-II CRAR is 2.98% as on Dec’20

Valuation & View:

The bank has done adequate provisioning for future. At the CMP of Rs 39.50 the stock is trading at P/BV multiple of only 0.47 times with book value of Rs 81.56.

Key Risk:

Any negative verdict of Supreme Court may dent profitability.

Technical View:

PNB witnessed a bullish breakout from the Inverted Head & Shoulder pattern on daily charts and it is also trading above its long term as well as short term moving averages on daily charts.

Considering the current chart patterns, we suggest traders to buy PNB as we are  expecting it to test 47 levels in near term.

Summary:

Considering both the factors fundamental & technical parameter, we recommend a ‘BUY’ in PNB at current level for the target price of Rs. 47 with close below stop loss of Rs. 35.50.

Disclosure

Globe Capital Market Limited (“GCML”) is a Stock Broker registered with BSE, NSE, USE and MSEI in all the major segments viz. Capital, F & O and CDS segments. GCML is also a Depository Participant and registered with both the Depositories viz. CDSL and NSDL. Further, GCML is a SEBI registered Portfolio Manager. GCML includes subsidiaries, group and associate companies, promoters, directors, employees and affiliates.

Globe Commodities Limited, Globe Derivatives and Securities Limited & Globe Fincap Limited are subsidiaries of GCML. Rolex Finvest Private Limited, A to Z Consultants Private Limited, A to Z Venture Capital Limited, M. Agarwal Stock Brokers Private Limited, A M Share Brokers Private Limited, Shri Adinath Advertising Company Pvt. Ltd., Orient Landbase Private Limited, Bolt Synthetic Private Limited, Price ponder Private Limited and Lakshya Impex Private Limited  are associates of GCML. Globe Comex International DMCC is step down subsidiary of GCML.

This report has been prepared by GCML and published in accordance with the provisions of Regulation 19 of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014, for use by the recipient as information only and is not for general circulation or public distribution. This report is not to be altered, transmitted, reproduced, copied, redistributed, uploaded, published or made available to others, in any form, in whole or in part, for any purpose without prior written permission from GCML. The projections and the forecasts described in this report are based on estimates and assumptions and are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies. Projections and forecasts are necessarily speculative in nature, and it can be expected that one or more of the estimates on which the projections are forecasts were based may not materialize or may vary significantly from actual results and such variations will likely increase over the period of time. This report should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, purchase or subscribe to any securities, and neither this report nor anything contained therein shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objective, financial situation or needs of any individual in particular. The research analysts of GCML have adhered to the code of conduct under Regulation 24 (2) of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014. The recipients of this report must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial situation or needs and other factors. The recipients should consider and independently evaluate whether it is suitable for its/ his/ her/their particular circumstances and if necessary, seek professional / financial advice as there is substantial risk of loss. GCML does not take any responsibility thereof.

Any such recipient shall be responsible for conducting his/her/its/their own investigation and analysis of the information contained or referred to in this report and of evaluating the merits and risks involved in securities forming the subject matter of this report. The price and value of the investment referred to in this report and income from them may go up as well as down, and investors may realize profit/loss on their investments. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in the projection.

This report has been prepared by GCML based on the information available in the public domain and other public sources believed to be reliable. Though utmost care has been taken to ensure its accuracy and completeness, no representation or warranty, express or implied is made by GCML that such information is accurate or complete and/or is independently verified. The contents of this report represent the assumptions and projections of GCML and GCML does not guarantee the accuracy or reliability of any projection, assurances or advice made herein. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and/or tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to recipients’ specific circumstances.

Since GCML or its associates are engaged in various financial activities, they might have financial interest or beneficial ownership in various companies including subject company/companies mentioned in the report. GCML or its associates have not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking from the subject company in the past 12 months.  GCML or its associates might have received any compensation including brokerage services and for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking from the subject company in the past 12 months. It is confirmed that GCML or research analyst or its associates have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past 12 months.

Research analyst or GCML or its relatives’/associates’ have no material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report. Neither research analyst nor GCML are engaged in market making activity for the subject company. It is confirmed that research analysts do not serve as an officer, director or employee of the subject company. It is also confirmed that research analyst have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past 12 months.

No material disciplinary action has been taken on GCML by any regulatory authority impacting Equity Research Analysis activities.

The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. This information is subject to change, as per applicable law, without any prior notice. GCML reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this statement, as may be required, from time to time.

Research analyst or GCML or its relatives’/associates’ do not have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more in securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the document.