S&P 500 hits all-time high in historic bull run : Daily Market Update Equity 20 Jan 2024 | Globe Capital Market LTD.
20-Jan-2024
S&P 500 hits all-time high in historic bull run : Daily Market Update Equity 20 Jan 2024

Wall Street ended the week on a positive note, with stocks closing at all-time highs on speculation the Federal Reserve will start cutting rates this year — bolstering the outlook for Corporate America. Another rally in the S&P 500’s most-influential group — technology — drove the gauge to a record for the first time in two years. Fueled by hopes the artificial-intelligence boom will keep powering the market higher, the benchmark topped 4,800 — defying warnings that the rally remains concentrated in a narrower group of shares. “After a more than two-year wait, the stock market hit a new record high,” said Greg McBride at Bankrate. “Easing inflation pressures and the prospect of both lower interest rates and a soft economic landing have stoked investors’ appetite for risk.”

Overview and Outlook

Global Stock Market Today

  • US equity markets settled higher in range 1% to 1.5%
  • Barring FTSE, other European equity markets settled on flat to negative note.
  • GIFT Nifty is little changed, Nifty futures are likely to open around 21700 levels (as on 8:30AM).

 

News highlights from across the globe

  • Japan’s headline inflation rate cooled to 2.6% from 2.8% in November while core inflation rate — which strips out prices of fresh food — fell to 2.3% from November’s 2.5%.
  • European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde signalled that borrowing costs would come down in the summer rather than spring.
  • Brent crude was trading 0.68% lower at $78.56 a barrel. Gold was higher by 0.30% at $2,029.49 an ounce.

 

Important news updates from the domestic front

  • Hindustan Unilever Q3 FY24 (Consolidated, YoY) – Revenue at Rs 15,567 crore vs Rs 15,597 crore, down 0.2%. Ebitda at Rs 3,666 crore vs Rs 3,694 crore, down 0.76%. Margin at 23.54% vs 23.68%, down 13 bps. Net profit at Rs 2,508 crore vs Rs 2,481 crore, up 1.08%.
  • Reliance Industries Q3 FY24 (Consolidated, YoY) – Revenue at Rs 2,25,086 crore vs Rs 2,31,886 crore, down 2.98%. Ebitda at Rs 40,656 crore vs Rs 40,968 crore, down 0.77%. Margin at 18.06% vs 17.66%. Net profit at Rs 17,265 crore vs Rs 17,394 crore, down 0.74%.
  • RBL Bank Q3 FY24 (Standalone, YoY) – NII at Rs 1,545.9 crore vs Rs 1,277.3 crore, up 21% (YoY). Net profit at Rs 233.1 crore vs Rs 208.9 crore, up 11.6% (YoY). GNPA at 3.12% vs 3.12% (QoQ). NNPA at 0.80% vs 0.78% (QoQ).
  • CESC Q3 FY24 (Consolidated, YoY) – Revenue at Rs 3,244 crore vs Rs 3,129 crore, up 3.67%. Ebitda at Rs 346 crore vs Rs 496 crore, down 30.25%. Ebitda margin at 10.66% vs 15.85%. Net profit at Rs 301 crore vs Rs 336 crore, down 10.41%. Board approves interim dividend of Rs 4.5 per share.
  • Tata Steel will commence statutory consultation as part of its plan to transform and restructure its U.K. business.
  • HFCL received a purchase order worth of Rs 623 crore from a telecom service provider for the supply of 5G telecom networking equipment.
  • Zee Entertainment issued a clarification on media reports of Sony’s board to take a call on a $10 bn merger with Zee Entertainment on Friday. It said that it is not aware of any board meeting held or proposed to be held by Sony India and added that the company is committed to the merger with Sony.
  • Fortis Healthcare unit Agilus Diagnostics received notice from Delhi’s anti-corruption bureau in the Mohalla Clinics’ case.

 

Nifty Overview & Outlook

Benchmark Nifty index ended on a positive note and close above 21600 levels, added over 150 points to its previous closing values after a highly volatile trading session.

Broader markets outperformed the benchmark as Mid and Small cap index gained 1.39% and 1.52% respectively; resultant, strong market breadth.

All the sectoral indices, barring Media and Private Bank index, tracked at NSE settled in green. Amongst them, Oil & Gas index  gained maximum, up over 1.5% followed by Nifty Auto, FMCG, Metal, PSU Bank index settled higher by 1% each.

Going ahead, we expect Nifty index to trade with sideways to negative bias and suggest traders to maintain sell on rise trading strategy till it is trading below 21750 levels on a closing basis.

 

Derivatives Overview & Outlook

Yesterday, long buildup was seen in Nifty futures with increase in open interest by 1%, no significant changes was seen in BankNifty and Finnifty futures on price front whereas Banknifty open interest increased by 3% and Finnifty open interest decreased by 7.1%.

On the sectoral front, long buildup observed in Infrastructure, Oil & Gas,Telecom and Cement stocks, whereas short covering was seen in Automobile and Chemicals stocks.

On options front, call writing along with put was seen at multiple strikes and maximum positions are at 22500 CE closely followed by 22000 CE and 20500 PE.

 

Institutional Trading Activity

Yesterday, FIIs sold stocks worth Rs 3690 Cr in the cash segment, bought stocks futures worth Rs 4795 Cr and sold index future worth Rs. 1057 Cr. DIIs were net buyer in the cash segment to the tune of Rs 2638 Cr.

 

Nifty Futures, Banknifty Futures and Finnifty Key Levels

Nifty – Resistances 21770-21900; Supports 21530-21400

Banknifty – Resistances 46540-47000; Supports 45555-45070

Finnifty – Resistances 20600-20760; Supports 20420-20270

 

F&O Securities in Ban Today  – ABFRL, BALRAMCHIN, DELTACORP, HINDCOPPER, IEX, OFSS, NATIOANALUM, POLYCAB, RBLBANK, SAIL, ZEEL.

Important Results Today – ICICIBANK, IDFCFIRST, IREDA, J&KBANK, JKCEMENT, KOTAKBANK, PERSISTENT, UNIONBANK

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