Crude oil steadies after tumbling almost 6% on rising demand risks - Daily Market Update- Equity 05 Oct 2023 | Globe Capital Market LTD.
05-Oct-2023
Crude oil steadies after tumbling almost 6% on rising demand risks – Daily Market Update- Equity 05 Oct 2023

Oil steadied after signs of weakening demand and concerns about a slowdown in global growth sparked the steepest one-day plunge in more than a year. West Texas Intermediate traded near $84 a barrel after sinking 5.6% on Wednesday. The drop came after official US data showed the weakest seasonal demand for gasoline in 25 years and a small build in crude holdings.

Overview and Outlook

Global Stock Market Today

  • US equity markets ended on positive note, up in range 0.39% to 1.35%
  • European markets ended on mixed note.
  • Asian equity markets are trading on positive note.
  • GIFT Nifty is trading up by 17 point (as on 8:30AM), Nifty futures likely to open around 19500 levels.

 

News highlights from across the globe

  • Shares rose in Asia after stocks rallied on Wall Street, bringing some relief to financial markets after losses.
  • The S&P 500 rose 0.8% in New York, its biggest gain in almost three weeks, while the Nasdaq 100 advanced 1.5%, its best day since August.
  • Brent Crude prices were trading above $86 a barrel and the yield on the 10-year U.S. bond was trading at 4.74%.

 

Important news updates from the domestic front

  • Hindustan Aeronautics announced the Indian Air Force will procure 97 more LCAs after it delivered the first LCA Tejas twin-seater aircraft.
  • Punjab National Bank lender reported CASA at Rs 5.38 lakh crore, up 2.6% year over year.Gross advances grew 13.8% to Rs 9.45 lakh crore, and total deposits stood at Rs 13.09 lakh crore, up 9.7%.
  • Marico domestic volumes grew in a low single-digit percentage range over the previous year, dragged by a persisting weakness in rural demand. Category-wise, sales volumes in its Saffola edible oil and Parachute coconut oil grew in low single-digits, aided by price cuts, while the value-added hair oils segment grew in low single-digit in value terms.
  • IDFC First Bank: CARE Ratings upgraded the bank’s rating for long-term debt instruments to AA+/Stable from AA/Stable.
  • Hero MotoCorp has received 13,688 bookings for its newly launched Karizma XMR. Dispatches to dealerships have already started, and customer deliveries will begin in the festive period this month.
  • Bandhan Bank reported CASA at Rs 43,161 crore, up 6.5% year over year.Loans and advances grew 12.3% to Rs 1,07,633 crore, and total deposits stood at Rs 1,12,074 crore, up 12.8%.
  • L&T Finance disbursements for the second quarter were up 32% year over year at Rs 13,490 crore. Retail loan book up 33% year over year to Rs 69,400 crore.
  • RBL Bank reported CASA at Rs 32,075 crore, up 12% year over year, and CASA ratio as of Sept. 30 at 35.7% vs. 37.3% a quarter ago. Gross advances were up 21% year over year at Rs 78,186 crore and total deposits at Rs 89,774 crore, up 13%.

 

Nifty Overview & Outlook

The benchmark Nifty index opened with a gap on downside. Smart recovery led by FMCG and IT stocks helped the benchmark index to settle at day’s highs at 19436 levels, down nearly 100 points from its previous closing values.

Broader market underperformed the benchmark as Midcap & Small Cap index down over 1% each.

All the sectoral indices, barring Nifty FMCG & IT, tracked at NSE settled in red. Amongst them, Nifty PSU Bank index was the worst performer, down nearly 3% followed by Nifty Healthcare, Pharma, Media and Realty index that settled down in range 1.40% to 1.73%.

Technically, Nifty index breached an important supports of 19500 levels and settled below the said support levels. Going ahead, we reiterate our short term bearish view on Nifty index till it is trading below 19700 levels on closing basis and expect it to test 19200 and lower levels in near term.

 

Derivatives Overview & Outlook

Yesterday, short buildup was seen in Nifty, Banknifty and Finnifty futures with increase in open interest by 3.9%, 27.7% and 12.3% respectively.

On sectoral front, short buildup was seen in majority sectors leading by Banking, Reality, Technology, Finance, Capital good and Cements stocks whereas long unwinding was seen in Infrastructure, Power and Media stocks.

On options front, call writing along with put writing was seen at multiple strikes and maximum positions are at 19400 PE and 19600 CE.

 

Institutional Trading Activity

Yesterday, FIIs sold stocks worth Rs 4424 Cr in the cash segment, sold stocks futures and index futures worth Rs 7185 Cr and Rs 560 Cr respectively. DIIs were net buyer in the cash segment to the tune of Rs 1769 Cr.

 

Nifty Futures, Banknifty Futures and Finnifty Key Levels

Nifty – Resistances 19620-19710; Supports 19320-19210

Banknifty – Resistances 44650-44900; Supports 43800-43600

Finnifty – Resistances 19900-20000; Supports 19620-19540

 

BANSCRIPT
DELTACORP, IBULHSGFIN, MANAPPURAM

 

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