Bank credit growth to industry decelerates to 6.1% in November : Daily Market Update Equity 01 Jan 2024 | Globe Capital Market LTD.
01-Jan-2024
Bank credit growth to industry decelerates to 6.1% in November : Daily Market Update Equity 01 Jan 2024

Growth of bank credit to industry decelerated to 6.1% in November as against 13% recorded in the same month last year, according to data released by the Reserve Bank of India on Friday. Among major industries, year-on-year credit growth to basic metal & metal products, food processing and textiles accelerated in November 2023 as compared with the corresponding month of the previous year, while that to all engineering, chemicals & chemical products, and infrastructure decelerated.

Overview and Outlook

Global Stock Market Today

  • US equity markets ended on a negative note in range 0.05% to 0.56%.
  • European equity markets settled higher in range 0.11% to 0.30%.
  • Majority of Asian equity markets are trading mixed.
  • GIFT Nifty is up down 6 points, Nifty futures are likely to open around 21957 levels (as on 8:30AM)

 

News highlights from across the globe

  • Most Asian markets are closed today on account of New Year.
  • Wall Street’s final session of 2023 saw stocks take a breather after a rally that put the market on pace for its ninth straight week of gains—the longest winning streak since 2004, Bloomberg reported.
  • Brent crude was trading 0.11% lower at $77.04 a barrel

 

Important news updates from the domestic front

  • Grasim Industries commissioned an additional 1.23 lakh tonnes of annual advanced materials capacity at the Bharuch plant in Gujarat. The total capacity of advanced materials is 2,46,000 tonnes per annum. The expansion will facilitate the growth of the specialty chemical business.
  • Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories: The company’s global arm acquired 6.46% of Israel-based biotechnology company Edity Therapeutics for $1.97 per share to further develop its technology platform.
  • ACC successfully commissioned a cement manufacturing unit with a capacity of 1.0 MTPA at Ametha, Madhya Pradesh.
  • Torrent Power incorporated a wholly owned subsidiary for generating electricity from renewable sources in Gujarat.
  • Aditya Birla Capital: The timeline for the completion of the sale of a 50% stake in Aditya Birla Insurance Brokers has been extended till March 31, 2024, subject to receipt of the approval of the Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India.
  • Nazara Technologies: The company’s arm signed agreements for subscribing to a convertible note of Freaks 4U Gaming GmbH at a consideration of Rs 33.26 crore to be paid in cash.

 

Nifty Overview & Outlook

The benchmark Nifty index took a pause after five days of advancing and settled lower at 21731 levels, down 47 points from its previous closing values after a volatile trading session.

Broader markets outperformed the benchmark as Midcap and small-cap index was up over 0.5% each against negative closing of frontline index.

Performance on the sectoral front was mix. Amongst them, Nifty Auto index was at the top of the tally, rose over 1% followed by FMCG, Metal and Realty indices that were up over 0.5% each.  On the other hand, Banking & Financial stocks along with IT and Oil & Gas stocks led the decline, down in range 0.5% to 1%.

Technically, Nifty Index is well placed on multiple chart frames. However, possibility of some profit taking can not be ruled out at this juncture. Going ahead, we reiterate our bullish view with a cautious stance on Nifty index till it is trading above 21500 levels on closing basis and expect it to test 22000 and higher levels in near term.

 

Derivatives Overview & Outlook

Last Friday, long unwinding was seen in Nifty futures with decrease in open interest by 0.1% whereas short buildup was seen in Banknifty and Finnifty futures with increase in open interest by 2.0% and 26.6%.

On the sectoral front, long buildup was seen among FMCG, Automobile, Metals, Media, Telecom and Capital Goods stocks whereas some short buildup was seen in Banking and Technology stocks.

On options front, put writing along with call writing was seen at multiple strikes and maximum positions are at 21500 PE and 22000 CE.

 

Institutional Trading Activity

Last week, FIIs bought stocks worth Rs 8649 Cr in the cash segment, bought stocks futures worth Rs 9516 and sold index futures worth Rs. 1869 Cr. DIIs were net buyer in the cash segment to the tune of Rs 666 Cr.

 

Nifty Futures, Banknifty Futures and Finnifty Key Levels

Nifty – Resistances 21950-22050; Supports 21735-21590

Banknifty – Resistances 48850-49150; Supports 48230-47890

Finnifty – Resistances 21720-21850; Supports 21410-21250

 

F&O Securities in Ban Today  – HINDCOPPER

Disclosure

Globe Capital Market Limited (“GCML”) is a Stock Broker registered with BSE, NSE, MCX, NCDEX, ICEX and MSEI in all the major segments viz. Capital, F & O and CDS segments. GCML is also a Depository Participant and registered with both the Depositories viz. CDSL and NSDL. Further, GCML is a SEBI registered Portfolio Manager and Research Analyst. GCML includes subsidiaries, group and associate companies, promoters, directors, employees and affiliates.

Globe Commodities Limited, Globe Derivatives and Securities Limited & Globe Fincap Limited are subsidiaries of GCML. Rolex Finvest Private Limited, A to Z Consultants Private Limited, A to Z Venture Capital Limited, M. Agarwal Stock Brokers Private Limited, A M Share Brokers Private Limited, Shri Adinath Advertising Company Pvt. Ltd., Orient Landbase Private Limited, Bolt Synthetic Private Limited, Price ponder Private Limited and Lakshya Impex Private Limited  are associates of GCML.

This report has been prepared by GCML and published in accordance with the provisions of Regulation 19 of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014, for use by the recipient as information only and is not for general circulation or public distribution. This report is not to be altered, transmitted, reproduced, copied, redistributed, uploaded, published or made available to others, in any form, in whole or in part, for any purpose without prior written permission from GCML. The projections and the forecasts described in this report are based on estimates and assumptions and are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies. Projections and forecasts are necessarily speculative in nature, and it can be expected that one or more of the estimates on which the projections are forecasts were based may not materialize or may vary significantly from actual results and such variations will likely increase over the period of time. This report should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, purchase or subscribe to any securities, and neither this report nor anything contained therein shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objective, financial situation or needs of any individual in particular. The research analysts of GCML have adhered to the code of conduct under Regulation 24 (2) of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014. The recipients of this report must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial situation or needs and other factors. The recipients should consider and independently evaluate whether it is suitable for its/ his/ her/their particular circumstances and if necessary, seek professional / financial advice as there is substantial risk of loss. GCML does not take any responsibility thereof.

Any such recipient shall be responsible for conducting his/her/its/their own investigation and analysis of the information contained or referred to in this report and of evaluating the merits and risks involved in securities forming the subject matter of this report. The price and value of the investment referred to in this report and income from them may go up as well as down, and investors may realize profit/loss on their investments. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in the projection.

This report has been prepared by GCML based on the information available in the public domain and other public sources believed to be reliable. Though utmost care has been taken to ensure its accuracy and completeness, no representation or warranty, express or implied is made by GCML that such information is accurate or complete and/or is independently verified. The contents of this report represent the assumptions and projections of GCML and GCML does not guarantee the accuracy or reliability of any projection, assurances or advice made herein. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and/or tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to recipients’ specific circumstances.

Since GCML or its associates are engaged in various financial activities, they might have financial interest or beneficial ownership in various companies including subject company/companies mentioned in the report. GCML or its associates have not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking from the subject company in the past 12 months.  GCML or its associates might have received any compensation including brokerage services and for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking from the subject company in the past 12 months. It is confirmed that GCML or research analyst or its associates have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past 12 months.

Research analyst or GCML or its relatives’/associates’ have no material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report. Neither research analyst nor GCML are engaged in market making activity for the subject company. It is confirmed that research analysts do not serve as an officer, director or employee of the subject company. It is also confirmed that research analyst have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past 12 months. GCML or its associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the Subject Company or third party in connection with the research report.

No material disciplinary action has been taken on GCML by any regulatory authority impacting Equity Research Analysis activities.

The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. This information is subject to change, as per applicable law, without any prior notice. GCML reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this statement, as may be required, from time to time.

Research analyst or GCML or its relatives’/associates’ do not have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more in securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the document.

Registration granted by SEBI, membership of BASL (in case of IAs) and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors.