World Bank projects Indian economy to grow at 7.5% in 2024 : Daily Market Update - 3 April 2024 | Globe Capital Market LTD.
03-Apr-2024
World Bank projects Indian economy to grow at 7.5% in 2024 : Daily Market Update – 3 April 2024

The Indian economy is projected to grow at 7.5% in 2024, the World Bank has said, revising its earlier projections for the same period by 1.2%. Overall, growth in South Asia is expected to be strong at 6% in 2024, driven mainly by robust growth in India and recoveries in Pakistan and Sri Lanka, the World Bank said in its latest South Asia Development Update on Tuesday. “In India, which accounts for the bulk of the region’s economy, output growth is expected to reach 7.5% in FY23/24 before returning to 6.6% over the medium term, with activity in services and industry expected to remain robust,” the bank said in its report. In Bangladesh, output is expected to rise by 5.7% in FY24/25, with high inflation and restrictions on trade and foreign exchange constraining economic activity.

Overview and Outlook

Global Stock Market Today

  • US equity markets ended in lower in range 0.72% to 1%.
  • European equity markets also settled lower in range 0.2% to 1%.
  • Asian equity markets are trading lower.
  • GIFT Nifty is trading down by 100 points, Nifty futures is likely to open around 22450 levels (as on 8:30AM).

 

News highlights from across the globe

  • Asian equity markets are trading  lower after data showed number of new jobs in the U.S. remained largely unchanged in February, indicating strength of the labour market.
  • The strong U.S. Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey data for February compelled market participants to scale down the number of rate cuts they were expecting in 2024. This pushed the U.S. Treasury yield higher, which also weighed on the emerging market equities.
  • Stocks and bonds dropped around the world as solid economic readings and a rally in commodities spurred speculation that major central banks would keep rates higher for longer, Bloomberg said.

 

Important news updates from the domestic front

  • UltraTech Cement will invest Rs 32,400 crore towards ongoing capex over the next three years. It has commissioned two new units in Chhattisgarh and Tamil Nadu to surpass 150 MTPA capacity.
  • Bharti Airtel approved the allotment of 1.38 crore shares to foreign currency convertible bondholders at a conversion price of Rs 518 per share.
  • HCLTech’s arm completed the divestment of a 49% stake in JV with US-based State Street. The arm received proceeds worth $172.5 million for stake divestment, termination of services, and settlement of contractual commitments.
  • Biocon has completed the transaction of the transfer of the business of Biocon Biologics to Eris Lifesciences on a ‘slump sale’ basis for Rs 1,242 crore, including working capital adjustments.
  • Zee Entertainment Enterprises: MD and CEO Punit Goenka takes the decision to implement a voluntary 20% reduction in personal remuneration.
  • Jammu and Kashmir Bank signed an agreement with New India Assurance for servicing and soliciting their insurance products through the company’s branch network.
  • Hindustan Zinc reported mined metal output at 2.99 lakh tonne, down 1% YoY and silver output at 6.1 million ounces, up 4% YoY for Q4.
  • PC Jeweller: Karur Vysya Bank has accepted a one-time settlement proposal submitted by the company to settle outstanding dues.
  • Moil achieved production and sales in FY24, with a 35% increase in production and a 30% increase in sales year-on-year.

 

Nifty Overview & Outlook

Benchmark Nifty index settled on a flat note at 22453 levels after a lackluster trading session.

Broader markets outperformed the benchmark as Mid and Small cap index settled higher by 1% each.

Performance on the sectoral front was mix. Amongst them, Nifty Consumer Durable and media index were the top gainers, rose nearly 2% followed by Nifty Auto, Metal, Realty and Oil & Gas indices that settled higher in range 1% to 1.5%. On the other hand, Nifty IT index led the decline, down by 0.7%.

Going ahead, we reiterate our bullish view on Nifty index till it is trading above 22000 levels on closing basis. Crossover and sustenance above 22550 will open the doors for 22800 levels in near term.

 

Derivatives Overview & Outlook

Yesterday, No significant activity was seen in Nifty, Banknifty and Finnifty futures on the price front, whereas on open interest front, all three added around 1.4%, 1.3% and 13.8% of open interest respectively.

Majority of F&O sectors settled higher. Amongst them, Cement, Capital Goods and Metal stocks witnessed maximum addition of long positions.

On options front, call writing along with put writing was seen at multiple strikes and maximum positions are at 22300 PE and 22500 CE.

 

Institutional Trading Activity

Yesterday, FIIs sold stocks worth Rs 1623 Cr in the cash segment, sold stocks futures worth Rs 1610 Cr and bought index futures worth Rs 678 Cr. DIIs were net buyers in the cash segment to the tune of Rs 1953 Cr.

 

Nifty Futures, Banknifty Futures and Finnifty Key Levels

Nifty – Resistances 22590-22650; Supports 22270-22200

Banknifty – Resistances 47800-48100; Supports 47300-47000

Finnifty – Resistances 21210-21300; Supports 21020-20950

 

F&O Securities in Ban Today  – HINDCOPPER

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