Moody's revises ratings outlook on 4 Adani Group firm: Daily Market Update -14 Feb 2024 | Globe Capital Market LTD.
14-Feb-2024
Moody’s revises ratings outlook on 4 Adani Group firm: Daily Market Update -14 Feb 2024

Moody’s Investor Group on February 13 said it has changed the outlook on debt papers of four Adani Group companies to stable from negative, and maintained the stable outlook on the other four companies. It affirmed the ratings of all eight companies. Those for which rating outlook have been kept the same are Adani Green Energy Restricted Group (AGEL RG-2), Adani Energy Solutions Limited Restricted Group 1 (AESL RG1), Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (APSEZ) and Adani International Container Terminal Private Ltd (AICTPL).

Overview and Outlook

Global Stock Market Today

  • Barring Dow, other US equity markets settled lower in range 1.5% to 2%.
  • European equity markets ended lower by nearly 1%.
  • Majority of Asian equity markets are trading in red.
  • GIFT Nifty is down by 200 points, Nifty futures are likely to open around 21650 levels (as on 8:30AM).

 

News highlights from across the globe

  • Share indices in Asia-Pacific region were trading sharply lower, tracking similar move on Wall Street, as higher-than-expected U.S. CPI data pushed back traders’ expectation of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve anytime soon.
  • Brent crude was trading 0.94% higher at $82.77 a barrel.

 

Important news updates from the domestic front

  • IRCTC Q3 FY24 (Consolidated, YoY)- Revenue up 21.81% at Rs 1,118.3 crore vs Rs 918.06 crore . Ebitda up 20.92% at Rs 393.97 crore vs Rs 325.8 crore . Margin narrows 25 bps to 35.22% vs 35.48%. Net profit up 17.4% at Rs 299.99 crore vs Rs 255.52 crore.
  • NBCC (India) Q3 FY24 (Consolidated, YoY)- Revenue up 12.96% at Rs 2,412.6 crore vs Rs 2,135.8 crore. Ebitda up 23.22% at Rs 117.32 crore vs Rs 95.21 crore. Margin expands 40 bps to 4.86% vs 4.45%. Net profit up 58.9% at Rs 113.6 crore vs Rs 71.49 crore.
  • Deepak Nitrite Q3 FY24 (Consolidated, YoY)- Revenue up 0.91% at Rs 2,009.23 crore vs Rs 1,991.06 crore. Ebitda down 3.16% at Rs 304.65 crore vs Rs 314.59 crore . Margin narrows 63 bps to 15.16% vs 15.8%. Net profit down 3.34% at Rs 202.05 crore vs Rs 209.05 crore.
  • Adani Group Companies: Global rating agency, Moody’s, has revised the outlook for four Adani group companies to ‘stable’ from ‘negative’ while affirming the ratings of eight companies on Tuesday.
  • Wipro acquired a 60% stake in Aggne Global for $66 million to strengthen consulting capabilities.
  • Bharat Electronics received an order worth of Rs 2,167 crore from the Indian Navy for the indigenously designed and developed EW suite.
  • Lupin launched Bromfenac Ophthalmic Solution in U.S. which is a generic of BromSite Ophthalmic Solution.
  • Infosys  announced a collaboration with Pacific International Lines for digital transformation in the logistics industry.
  • Sonata Software announced the integration of Amazon Bedrock, bringing artificial intelligence adoption to the forefront of businesses. Amazon Bedrock is a fully managed service from Amazon Web Services.

 

Nifty Overview & Outlook

The benchmark Nifty index witnessed smart recovery from the days low and settled at day’s highs at 21743 levels after adding 127 points to its previous closing values after a highly volatile trading session.

Broader markets slightly underperformed the benchmark as Small cap ended on a positive note while Mid cap index traded in line with benchmark settled higher, up nearly 0.5%.

All the sectoral indices, barring Nifty Metal index, tracked at NSE settled higher. Amongst them, Banking & Financial pack were at the top of the tally, up over 1% each.

Going ahead, we expect Nifty index to trade with sideways to negative bias till it is trading below 21800 levels on closing basis and suggest traders to maintain sell on rise trading strategy till it is trading below the said levels.

 

Derivatives Overview & Outlook

Yesterday, long buildup was seen in Nifty and Banknifty futures with increase in open interest by 1.4% and 2% respectively. Short covering was seen in Finnifty futures with decrease in open interest by 11%.

On the sectoral front, long buildup was observed in Technology and Automobile shares whereas short buildup was seen in Metals stocks. Short covering was seen in Textile, Power, Reality and Chemicals stocks.

On options front, put writing was seen at multiple strikes and maximum positions are at 21000 PE closely followed by 21500 PE and 22000 CE

 

Institutional Trading Activity

Yesterday, FIIs bought stocks worth Rs 376 Cr in the cash segment, bought stocks futures and index future worth Rs 2508 Cr and Rs 346 Cr respectively. DIIs were net buyer in the cash segment to the tune of Rs 274 Cr.

 

Nifty Futures, Banknifty Futures and Finnifty Key Levels

Nifty – Resistances 21890-22040; Supports 21600-21490

Banknifty – Resistances 45950-46250; Supports 45400-45000

Finnifty – Resistances 20300-20430; Supports 20070-19900

 

F&O Securities in Ban Today  –ABFRL, ASHOKLEY, AUROPHARMA, BALRAMCHIN, BANDHANBNK, BIOCON, DELTACORP, INDIACEM, INDUSTOWER, NATIONALUM, PNB, SAIL, ZEEL.

 

Important Results Today

ABFRL, GLENMARK, GSPL, IBULHSGFIN, IPCALAB, M&M, MUTHOOTFIN, NATCOPHARMA, NFL, NH, POLYPLEX, SUNTV, WOCKPHARMA.

Disclosure

Globe Capital Market Limited (“GCML”) is a Stock Broker registered with BSE, NSE, MCX, NCDEX, ICEX and MSEI in all the major segments viz. Capital, F & O and CDS segments. GCML is also a Depository Participant and registered with both the Depositories viz. CDSL and NSDL. Further, GCML is a SEBI registered Portfolio Manager and Research Analyst. GCML includes subsidiaries, group and associate companies, promoters, directors, employees and affiliates.

Globe Commodities Limited, Globe Derivatives and Securities Limited & Globe Fincap Limited are subsidiaries of GCML. Rolex Finvest Private Limited, A to Z Consultants Private Limited, A to Z Venture Capital Limited, M. Agarwal Stock Brokers Private Limited, A M Share Brokers Private Limited, Shri Adinath Advertising Company Pvt. Ltd., Orient Landbase Private Limited, Bolt Synthetic Private Limited, Price ponder Private Limited and Lakshya Impex Private Limited  are associates of GCML.

This report has been prepared by GCML and published in accordance with the provisions of Regulation 19 of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014, for use by the recipient as information only and is not for general circulation or public distribution. This report is not to be altered, transmitted, reproduced, copied, redistributed, uploaded, published or made available to others, in any form, in whole or in part, for any purpose without prior written permission from GCML. The projections and the forecasts described in this report are based on estimates and assumptions and are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies. Projections and forecasts are necessarily speculative in nature, and it can be expected that one or more of the estimates on which the projections are forecasts were based may not materialize or may vary significantly from actual results and such variations will likely increase over the period of time. This report should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, purchase or subscribe to any securities, and neither this report nor anything contained therein shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objective, financial situation or needs of any individual in particular. The research analysts of GCML have adhered to the code of conduct under Regulation 24 (2) of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014. The recipients of this report must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial situation or needs and other factors. The recipients should consider and independently evaluate whether it is suitable for its/ his/ her/their particular circumstances and if necessary, seek professional / financial advice as there is substantial risk of loss. GCML does not take any responsibility thereof.

Any such recipient shall be responsible for conducting his/her/its/their own investigation and analysis of the information contained or referred to in this report and of evaluating the merits and risks involved in securities forming the subject matter of this report. The price and value of the investment referred to in this report and income from them may go up as well as down, and investors may realize profit/loss on their investments. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in the projection.

This report has been prepared by GCML based on the information available in the public domain and other public sources believed to be reliable. Though utmost care has been taken to ensure its accuracy and completeness, no representation or warranty, express or implied is made by GCML that such information is accurate or complete and/or is independently verified. The contents of this report represent the assumptions and projections of GCML and GCML does not guarantee the accuracy or reliability of any projection, assurances or advice made herein. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and/or tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to recipients’ specific circumstances.

Since GCML or its associates are engaged in various financial activities, they might have financial interest or beneficial ownership in various companies including subject company/companies mentioned in the report. GCML or its associates have not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking from the subject company in the past 12 months.  GCML or its associates might have received any compensation including brokerage services and for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking from the subject company in the past 12 months. It is confirmed that GCML or research analyst or its associates have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past 12 months.

Research analyst or GCML or its relatives’/associates’ have no material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report. Neither research analyst nor GCML are engaged in market making activity for the subject company. It is confirmed that research analysts do not serve as an officer, director or employee of the subject company. It is also confirmed that research analyst have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past 12 months. GCML or its associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the Subject Company or third party in connection with the research report.

No material disciplinary action has been taken on GCML by any regulatory authority impacting Equity Research Analysis activities.

The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. This information is subject to change, as per applicable law, without any prior notice. GCML reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this statement, as may be required, from time to time.

Research analyst or GCML or its relatives’/associates’ do not have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more in securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the document.

Registration granted by SEBI, membership of BASL (in case of IAs) and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors.