Bullions counter may trade on negative path as yellow metal prices were bound to post their biggest monthly rise in four on Monday, helped by growing expectations that major central banks may be nearing the end of current monetary policy tightening cycles in their fight to rein in inflation. Gold can move in range of 59000-59400 while silver also can move in range of 73200-74800.
BULLIONS
Bullions counter may trade on negative path as yellow metal prices were bound to post their biggest monthly rise in four on Monday, helped by growing expectations that major central banks may be nearing the end of current monetary policy tightening cycles in their fight to rein in inflation. Gold can move in range of 59000-59400 while silver also can move in range of 73200-74800. Gold prices are set to end the month about 2% higher, the most since March, as expectations that U.S. interest rates could be nearing their peak sent the dollar on track for its second straight monthly decline. Data on Friday showed annual U.S. inflation rose at its slowest pace in more than two years in June, cementing expectations that the Federal Reserve was closer to ending its fastest interest rate hiking cycle since the 1980s. Chinese physical gold premiums rose to a four-month high last week on robust demand, while a price retreat fuelled a slight recovery in purchases in India.
BASE METALS
In base metal counter, Copper can trade on positive path as it can move in range of 735-748. Codelco, the world’s biggest copper supplier, lowered its annual production guidance and raised cost estimates after another disappointing quarter at its mines and projects in Chile. Codelco’s woes are part of an industrywide story as ore grades decline and new deposits get harder and costlier to develop amid supply chain disruptions, inflation and construction bottlenecks. The firm is investing about $3.5 billion a year in a bid to reverse the output slump, juggling four major upgrade projects that have been hit by delays and cost blowouts. Zinc may remain on sideways path as it can move in range of 217-225. Aluminum can move in range of 198-203.
ENERGY: Crude oil may trade on strong path as it may move in range of 6550-6600. Oil prices edged lower on Monday, but were hovering near three-month highs, set to post their biggest monthly gains in over a year on expectations that Saudi Arabia would extend voluntary output cuts into September and tighten global supply. In the U.S., energy firms in July cut the number of oil rigs for an eighth straight month by one to 529, Baker Hughes said in its weekly report on Friday. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia is expected to extend a voluntary oil output cut of 1 million barrels per day (bpd) for another month to include September, analysts said. Natural gas prices may trade on firm path in range of 214-224.
Disclosure
Globe Capital Market Limited (“GCML”) is a Stock Broker registered with BSE, NSE, USE and MSEI in all the major segments viz. Capital, F & O and CDS segments. GCML is also a Depository Participant and registered with both the Depositories viz. CDSL and NSDL. Further, GCML is a SEBI registered Portfolio Manager. GCML includes subsidiaries, group and associate companies, promoters, directors, employees and affiliates.
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