Commodity Morning Trading Guide | Globe Capital Market LTD.
27-Dec-2023
Commodity Morning Trading Guide

Bullions counter may trade on firm path as it was helped by a weaker U.S. dollar and lower Treasury yields on expectations that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates next year.

Report Overview

DAILY MARKET NEWS AND OUTLOOK

BULLIONS

Bullions counter may trade on firm path as it was helped by a weaker U.S. dollar and lower Treasury yields on expectations that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates next year. Gold can move in range of 62800-63400 while silver also can move in range of 74000-76000. Trading was thin on the day after Christmas, with several markets closed for public holidays and trading expected to remain muted across the shortened week. Data released on Friday showed U.S. prices fell in November for the first in more than three and a half years, further slowing inflation and boosting expectations of a Fed interest rate cut next March. Traders are now pricing in an 89% chance of a rate cut by the U.S. central bank in March, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

BASE METALS

In base metal counter, Copper can move in range of 728-738. Prices of copper were steady on Wednesday, supported by a weak dollar and concern over tight global raw material supplies. The dollar index edged higher, but held close to a five-month low. The greenback was on track for its worst performance since 2020 against a basket of currencies as rising expectation of interest rate cuts from the Feral Reserve dents the appeal of the U.S. currency relative to peers. Spot demand in China was subdued after a burst of restocking seen recently, reversing premiums to discounts of 110 yuan per ton on Tuesday .Aluminium may trade in range of 205-212.

ENERGY

Crude oil may remain on firm path as it may move in range of 6250-6400. Oil prices fell in early Asian trade on Wednesday, trimming strong gains from the previous session as major shipping firms began returning to the Red Sea despite continued attacks and escalating tensions in the Middle East. Prices on Tuesday climbed more than 2% to their highest this month, continuing last week’s upward momentum which saw prices rise more than 3%, partly on hopes of U.S. interest rate cuts that could boost economic growth and fuel demand. However, the prospect of a prolonged Israeli military campaign in Gaza and the spillover of the conflict to attacks on ships in the Red Sea remain major drivers of market sentiment. Natural gas prices may remain downbeat as it can move in range of 196-210.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Disclosure

Globe Capital Market Limited (“GCML”) is a Stock Broker registered with BSE, NSE, USE and MSEI in all the major segments viz. Capital, F & O and CDS segments. GCML is also a Depository Participant and registered with both the Depositories viz. CDSL and NSDL. Further, GCML is a SEBI registered Portfolio Manager. GCML includes subsidiaries, group and associate companies, promoters, directors, employees and affiliates.

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