Commodity Morning Trading Guide | Globe Capital Market LTD.
21-Mar-2024
Commodity Morning Trading Guide

Bullions counter may trade on bullish path as U.S. Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged in a widely expected move and stayed on track for three rate cuts this year.

Report Overview

BULLIONS
Bullions counter may trade on bullish path as U.S. Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged in a widely expected move and stayed on track for three rate cuts this year. Overall gold can move in range of 66500-66900 while silver also can move in range of 76000-77000. Fed funds futures traders are now pricing in a 75% probability that the Fed will begin cutting rates in June, up from 59% on Tuesday, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool. Focus now shifts to a rate decision from the Bank of England (BoE) later in the day. The central bank is widely expected to keep its bank rate at 5.25%, its highest level since 2008. SPDR Gold Trust , the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings rose 0.14% to 838.50 tons on Wednesday from 837.35 tons on Tuesday.
BASE METALS
In base metal counter, Copper can move higher as it can move range of 758-764. Prices of most base metals rose amid upbeat sentiment as investors eyed interest rate cuts by the U.S. central bank this year. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady but still saw the rates falling at least three-quarters of a percentage point later this year despite recent high inflation readings. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady on Wednesday but still saw the rates falling at least three-quarters of a percentage point later this year despite recent high inflation readings. Zinc may trade on upside path as it may move in range of 217-222.

ENERGY
Crude oil may witness upside path as it may move in range of 6720-6860. Oil prices rebounded as U.S. crude and gasoline inventory declines supported the market after signs the U.S. Federal Reserve may keep rates higher for longer crimped the outlook for future fuel demand. Crude inventories in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer, fell for a second week, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported on Wednesday. The stockpiles fell as exports rose and refiners continued to increase activity. Gasoline inventories fell for a seventh week, down by 3.3 million barrels to 230.8 million, and suggesting steadily strong fuel demand. The market remains wary of ongoing supply side issues. The Ukrainian drone strikes that took out 12% of Russia’s total oil processing capacity are likely to tighten the market amid the ongoing cutbacks from OPEC. Ukraine has stepped up attacks on Russian oil infrastructure amid a more than two-year war, with at least seven refineries targeted by drones this month. Natural gas prices may move on upside path as it may move in range of 138-146.


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