Commodity Morning Trading Guide | Globe Capital Market LTD.
13-Oct-2023
Commodity Morning Trading Guide

Bullions counter may trade on sideways path. U.S. Treasury yields rose and the dollar strengthened, while global stock markets fell after data on Thursday showed U.S. consumer prices increased in September.

Report Overview

BULLIONS

Bullions counter may trade on sideways path. Yellow metal traded below two-week highs hit in the last session, as a bigger-than-expected jump in U.S. consumer prices boosted bets interest rates would stay high for longer, lifting dollar and bond yields from their recent lows. Gold can move in range of 57850-58200 while silver also can move in range of 69000-70000. U.S. Treasury yields rose and the dollar strengthened, while global stock markets fell after data on Thursday showed U.S. consumer prices increased in September amid a surprise surge in rental costs. Fed Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said the latest inflation data underscores uneven progress toward restoring price stability, reiterating her view that the central bank might have to raise rates again to combat inflation. European Central Bank policymakers expressed cautious optimism on Thursday that inflation was on its way back to 2% even without more rate hikes.

BASE METALS

In base metal counter, Copper can move on mixed path as it can move in range of 695-705. Russian copper exports to China and expectations of surpluses have emboldened Chinese buyers to try and dictate how much they will pay to Codelco for the industrial metal next year. According to sources with knowledge of the matter, China’s largest copper buyers expect to pay a premium of around $90 per metric ton next year for Codelco’s metal, 36% below what they are paying this year. According to the International Copper Study Group (ICSG), the global refined copper market will see a surplus of 467,000 tons next year from a small deficit this year. Aluminum can move in range of 201-207.

ENERGY

Crude oil may trade on sideways path in range of 6870-7050. Oil prices rose after the U.S. tightened its sanctions programme against Russian crude exports, raising supply concerns in an already tight market, and global inventories are forecast to decline through the fourth quarter. Brent is set for a weekly gain of 2.1%, while WTI is set to climb 0.8% for the week, after both contracts surged on Monday on the potential for disruptions to Middle Eastern exports after Hamas’ attack on Israel over the weekend threatened a possible wider conflict. Prices gave back some of those gains during week. But, on Thursday, the U.S. imposed the first sanctions on owners of tankers carrying Russian oil priced above the G7’s price cap of $60 a barrel, to close loopholes in the mechanism designed to punish Moscow for its invasion of Ukraine. Russia is the world’s second-largest oil producer and a major exporter and the tighter U.S. scrutiny of its shipments could curtail supply Natural gas prices may trade on volatile path as it can move in range of 273-285.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Disclosure

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