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Commodity
26-Aug-20261 min readSandeep Globe

Commodity Morning Trading Guide

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Bullions counter may remain on volatile path as gold held steady on Wednesday after scaling a more than three-month high ‌in the previous session, as investors awaited a key U.S. inflation report to gauge the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate path.

MORNING RECOMMENDATION
Our Recommendations
Contracts Previous Close Target Stop loss Recommendation
COPPER (SEP) 1397.6 1408 1400 BUY NEAR @ 1403

COMMODITY DAILY MARKET NEWS AND OUTLOOK

BULLIONS

  • Bullions counter may remain on volatile path as gold held steady on Wednesday after scaling a more than three-month high ‌in the previous session, as investors awaited a key U.S. inflation report to gauge the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate path.
  • Gold (Oct) can move in range of 162400-163800 while silver (Dec) can move in range of 246000-258000.
  • The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index for July, is due at 1230 GMT. Attention is ​also on Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh’s speech on Friday at the central bank’s Jackson Hole symposium.
  • On the geopolitical front, Iran said it had restarted talks with neighbor ⁠Oman to manage the Strait of Hormuz, sending oil prices lower.

BASE METALS

  • In base metal counter, Copper prices can trade on firm path as it can move in range of 1385-1415. Copper edged lower as traders focused on a firmer US dollar and the risk that US interest rates stay higher for longer, even after a spike in London Metal Exchange withdrawal requests hinted at tighter supply.
  • Inventories in LME-approved warehouses have halved since May to less than 210,000 tons as traders shifted copper to the United States ahead of possible tariffs on refined-metal imports.
  • Aluminum prices can trade on mixed path as it may move in range of 343-348. The aluminium market is betting that increased exports from China and Indonesia can offset the loss of production in the Gulf region due to the Iran war.

ENERGY

  • Crude oil may trade on weaker path as it can move in range of 7500-7850. Oil prices dropped about 2% on Wednesday, adding to the previous session’s losses, on fresh hopes ‌the Strait of Hormuz could reopen after Iran said it had resumed talks with neighbor Oman on managing the strategic waterway.
  • The market continues to react to ​developments surrounding navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, and hopes for progress in talks between Iran and Oman have triggered selling.
  • Iran said it had restarted talks with Oman to manage the Strait as it faces heightened economic pressure from U.S. President Donald Trump.
  • Natural gas may trade with firm path as it can move in range of 270-278.
Important Pivot Levels
Contracts Expiry S2 S1 R1 R2
GOLD OCT 160000 162000 164000 165000
SILVER DEC 242000 245000 254000 256000
CRUDEOIL SEP 7300 7400 7850 7950
NATURAL GAS SEP 255 260 280 285
COPPER SEP 1380 1390 1420 1410
ZINC SEP 375 395 420 425
LEAD SEP 186 192 206 213
ALUMINIUM SEP 340 340 355 365
GUARSEED SEP 6000 6100 6450 6550
COCUDAKL SEP 3000 3100 3500 3600
COMEX($) AND NYMEX($)
GOLD SPOT 4400 4500 4750 4850
SILVER SPOT 63 65 71 73
CRUDE OIL WTI SPOT 76 78 84 88
NG SPOT 2.5 2.4 3.4 3.6
ECONOMIC CALENDER
DATE TIME(IST) COUNTRY ECONOMIC EVENT FORECAST PREVIOUS
26 Aug 2026
18:00 US Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Jul) 3.30% 3.30%
18:00 US Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Jul) 0.20% 0.10%
18:00 US GDP (QoQ) (Q2) 1.50% 1.50%
18:00 US Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Jul) 0.50% 0.50%
18:00 US Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Jul) 0.50% 0.70%
20:00 US Crude Oil Inventories 4.405M

 

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