- Bullions counter may trade on volatile note as yellow metal prices edged lower, weighed down by an uptick in the U.S. dollar and looming inflation concerns that bolstered expectations of higher interest rates. Gold (Apr) can move in range of 160500-162500 while silver (May) can move in range of 264000-270000.
Commodity Morning Trading Guide
BULLIONS
- Bullions counter may trade on volatile note as yellow metal prices edged lower, weighed down by an uptick in the U.S. dollar and looming inflation concerns that bolstered expectations of higher interest rates. Gold (Apr) can move in range of 160500-162500 while silver (May) can move in range of 264000-270000.
- The U.S. dollar index inched up 0.4%. A stronger U.S. currency makes dollar-priced commodities more expensive for holders of other currencies.
- Gold is widely seen as a hedge against uncertainty and inflation, but becomes less attractive when interest rates are high since it is non-yielding.
- Meanwhile, data showed the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.3% in February, in line with forecasts and above January’s 0.2% increase. CPI rose 2.4% in the year to February, also matching expectations. Now focus shifts to January’s delayed PCE price index data due on Friday.
BASE METALS
- In base metal counter, Copper (Mar) prices can trade on firm path as it can move in range of 1180-1230. Copper prices edged lower in the previous session, settling 0.36% down at 1,203.6, as concerns over global economic growth weighed on sentiment. Rising oil prices and a stronger U.S. Dollar Index added pressure on base metals, prompting some profit booking.
- Aluminum (Mar) prices can trade on firm path as it may move in range of 335-343. Zinc (Mar) may move on volatile path as it may trade in range of 322-330.
- Workers at Glencore’s copper refinery in Townsville, Queensland, have threatened to strike over a pay dispute. The refinery produces up to 300,000 tonnes of copper annually, including material sourced from Olympic Dam, operated by BHP.
ENERGY
- Crude oil (Mar) may trade on upside path as it can move in wide range of 8200-9000. Oil prices settled up nearly 5% on Wednesday as fresh attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz worsened supply disruption fears, and analysts said the International Energy Agency’s proposal for a record release of oil reserves is inadequate to ease those worries.
- Shipping along the narrow strait has come to a near standstill since the United States and Israel began strikes on Iran on February 28, preventing exports of around a fifth of the world’s oil supply and sending global oil prices surging to highs not seen since 2022.
- President Donald Trump has said the United States is prepared to escort tankers through the Strait of Hormuz when necessary. However, sources told Reuters the U.S. Navy has refused requests from the shipping industry for military escorts as the risk of attacks is too high for now.
- Natural gas (Mar) may witness mixed movement in range of 290-315.


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