RBI action on digital lending likely to drag Kotak's profit by Rs 300-450 crore in FY25 : Daily Market Update - 6 May 2024 | Globe Capital Market LTD.
06-May-2024
RBI action on digital lending likely to drag Kotak’s profit by Rs 300-450 crore in FY25 : Daily Market Update – 6 May 2024

The regulatory action on Kotak Mahindra Bank's digital banking business is likely to impact its profit-before-tax (PBT) by Rs 300-450 crore in FY25, said Ashok Vaswani, managing director and chief executive in a post-earnings analyst call. However, Vaswani emphasised that the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI's) financial impact is 'minimal' on the private lender's business as only onboarding of new customers have been barred, while existing customers can continue to take loans or make new deposits.

"We remain fully focused on mitigating the current challenges imposed on Kotak Mahindra Bank's digital lending business. Our focus for this fiscal year will be to deepen existing customer relations through cross-selling instead of new acquisitions," he added.

Overview and Outlook

Global Stock Market Today

  • US equity markets were up in range 1% to 2%.
  • European equity markets settled higher by 0.5%.
  • Asian equity markets are trading higher.
  • GIFT Nifty is up by 100 points, Nifty futures likely to open around 22700 levels (as on 8:30AM).

 

News highlights from across the globe

  • Majority of equity benchmarks in Asia-Pacific are trading higher in early trade on Monday, taking cues from overnight gains on Wall Street, and as risk appetite improved following softer-than-expected U.S. jobs data.
  • Wall Street took a slowdown in the US jobs market as an indication that the Federal Reserve will be able to start cutting rates as early as September, with traders sending stocks up sharply as bond yields fell, Bloomberg said.
  • Brent crude was trading 0.02% lower at $82.94 a barrel.

 

Important news updates from the domestic front

  • Britannia Industries (Consolidated, YoY) – Revenue up 1.14% at Rs 4,069 crore vs Rs 4,023 crore. Ebitda down 1.67% at Rs 787 crore vs Rs 801 crore. Margin down 55 bps at 19.35% vs 19.9%. Net profit down 3.76% at Rs 537 crore vs Rs 558 crore. Recommended final dividend of Rs 73.5 per share.
  • Titan (Consolidated, YoY) – Revenue up 20.59% at Rs 12,494 crore vs Rs 10,360 crore . Ebitda up 9.36% at Rs 1,191 crore vs Rs 1,089 crore. Margin down 97 bps at 9.53% vs 10.51%. Net profit up 4.75% at Rs 771 crore vs Rs 736 crore.
  • HDFC Bank: RBI has approved the re-appointment of Atanu Chakraborty as part-time chairman for 3 years effective May 5.
  • Dr Reddy’s announced the launch of Doxycycline capsules in the US.
  • Vodafone Idea to focus on expanding 4G in 17 priority circles to improve competitiveness.
  • Life Insurance Corp: IRDAI has allowed the company to replenish excess expenses from holders’ accounts starting Q1 FY25 under respective segments.
  • Aurobindo Pharma: USFDA inspected Unit II of the company’s arm’s Rajasthan facility from April 25 to May 3 and closed with 7 observations.
  • Adani Energy arm Adani Electricity Mumbai completed the acquisition of a 100% stake in Pointleap Projects.
  • Goa Carbon has temporarily shut down operations at the Odisha plant for maintenance purposes.
  • DCM Shriram commissioned its Caustic Soda Expansion Project in Gujarat. With this commissioning Bharuch complex will be the single largest caustic soda complex in the country thereby driving economies of scale.

 

Nifty Overview & Outlook

Indian Benchmark index Nifty opened with a positive tilt on Friday byoyed by strong openings from Bajaj twins. However, Nifty quickly plummet after hitting new all time high ultimately ending the session in red.

Bank Nifty index too settled on a negative note at 48923 levels in a volatile trading session.

Though Midcap and Smallcap indices outperformed the benchmark, the indices closed marginally down with 0.4% and 0.3% respectively.

Barring Nifty Pharma which closed flat to positive, all other sectors closed in red where Nifty Infra and Nifty Realty led the downwfall losing more than 1% each. All other indices contributed in the negative momentum. Nifty Metal closed flat.

Technically, Nifty briefly surpassed its previous All-time high before quickly reversing to produce a significant Bearish candle, nearly engulfing last three days candles. Thereby, Nifty has formed a Triple Top on the daily chart, which if confirmed could signal a bearish reversal for the index. Conversely, Nifty has taken support near 38.2% retracement of the recent upward rally from 21778 to 22783, suggesting that it could continue to rebound in near term.

We hold 22570 followed by 22800 as the next immediate resistances for the Nifty while 22300-22280

 

Derivatives Overview & Outlook

On Friday, long unwinding was seen in Nifty and Bankniifty futures as open interest shed around 4% & 8% respectively whereas some short buildup was seen in Finnifty futures as its open interest increased by 1.5%.

Majority of sectors settled in red. Amongst them, Technology, Chemicals and Auto stocks witnessed maximum addition of short positions along with some long unwinding among Textile stocks whereas some long buildup was seen among Metals and Cement stocks.

On options front, call writing was seen at multiple strikes along with some put addition at multiple strikes and maximum positions are at 22800 CE and 22000 PE.

 

Institutional Trading Activity

Last week, FIIs sold stocks worth Rs 1230 Cr in the cash segment, bought stocks futures and index futures worth Rs 3762 & 3697 Cr respectively. On the other hand, DIIs were net buyer in the cash segment to the tune of Rs 4164 Cr

 

Nifty Futures, Banknifty Futures and Finnifty Key Levels

Nifty – Resistances 22820-22950; Supports 22350-22300

Banknifty – Resistances 49200-49600; Supports 49080-48700

Finnifty – Resistances 21900-22020; Supports 21700-21600

 

F&O Securities in Ban Today – BIOCON, ABFRL, IDEA, GMRINFRA, BALRAMCHIN

 

Important Results Today– BOMDYEING , CGPOWER, GUJGASLTD, HAPPSTMNDS, LUPIN, MARICO.

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