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Daily Market Update
31-Dec-20251 min readvipin kumar

Fed Minutes show most officials expect additional rate cuts- Daily Market Update 31st Dec 2025

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Most Federal Reserve officials saw additional interest-rate reductions as appropriate so long as inflation declines over time, though they remained divided over when and how far to cut, a record of the central bank’s December meeting showed.

Overview and Outlook

Global Stock Market Today

  • US equity markets settled on a flat to negative note.
  • European equity markets ended higher in range 0.85% to 1.52%.
  • Asian equity markets are trading mix.
  • GIFT Nifty is little changed, Nifty futures likely to open around 26120 levels.

 

News highlights from across the globe

  • US stocks ended Tuesday modestly lower even after minutes from the Fed’s December meeting reinforced expectations for further rate cuts next year. Policymakers remained divided over when and how far to cut, a record of the central bank’s December meeting showed,
  • Asian equity markets are set for a third annual gain, and the best since 2017. A number of markets are shut for the year, including Japan and South Korea.
  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries and 2-year Treasuries were up marginally at around 4.12% and 3.44% respectively.

 

Important news updates from the domestic front

  • Bharat Forge signed a contract worth Rs 1,662 crore with defence ministry to supply 2.6 lakh indigenously developed CQB carbines to the Indian army.
  • Powergrid secured 150 MW/300 MWH Battery Energy Storage Project in Andhra Pradesh.
  • Rites received a letter of award worth $3.6 Mn from Berhard Development Corp in Zimbabwe.
  • Titan Sandhya Venugopal Sharma, IAS, has been appointed as Chairperson and Additional Director on Titan’s Board, effective 4 January 2026.
  • Kalyani Steels completed the acquisition of 8.6% stake in Clean Renewable Energy KK 1A.
  • Petronet LNG Milind Torawane ceases to be director of the company.
  • The New India Assurance Mumbai Tax Body drops tax demand of Rs 2,188 crore. The company received total show cause notice demand of Rs 2,298 crore of which Rs 2,188 crore was dropped & demand of Rs 110.1 crore was confirmed.
  • Torrent Pharma is to meet on Jan 5 to consider fundraising.
  • Lupin Netherlands arm Nanomi BV to buy 100% stake in Nanomi BV by Feb 28, 2026. The company had earlier notified us that the acquisition will be completed by the end of 2025.
  • Interglobe Aviation received Rs 458 Cr penalty order from Delhi GST body for FY19-FY23. The company will contest the order, and the said order does not have any significant impact on financials, operations or other activities of the company.
  • Greenply Industries receives shareholders’ approval for re-appointment of Rajesh Mittal as ED in the capacity of Chairman & MD. The shareholders approved the re-appointment of Rajesh Mittal as ED effective Jan 1, 2026.
  • Devyani International Sky Gate hospitality with Heritage foods to sell its entire 51% stake in Arm Peanutbutter for Rs 9 crore.
  • TAJ GVK Hotels promoter shareholder Shalini Bhupal acquired 25.5% stake in the company at Rs 370 per share from The Indian Hotels. The company terminated the pact executed between G Indira Krishna Reddy, Shalini Bhupal, Blue Moon Trust, Moonshot Trust. Starlight Trust, The Indian Hotels & Co.
  • Cochin Shipyard Govt approved to extend the tenure of Madhu Sankunny Nair as Chairman & MD till Jan 31, 2026.
  • Muthoot Finance arm Muthoot Money allotted 3.3 lakh shares to the company to raise funds worth Rs 500 crore via rights issue.

 

Nifty Overview & Outlook

Benchmark Nifty index ended on a flat note at 25939 spot level after a lackluster trading session on expiry day.

Broader markets traded in line with the benchmark as both Mid and Small cap indices ended on a flat to negative note.

Performance on the sectoral front was mix. Amongst them, Metal index was as the top of the tally, gained over 2% followed by PSU Banks & Auto index that rose 1.69% & 1.08% respectively. On the flip side, IT, Realty and Consumer Durables were up close to a percent each.

Technically, Nifty index is still trading in the same congestion zone (25700-26300 spot levels having immediate supports around 25900-25840 spot zone and resistances around 26050-26120 spot levels. Hence, we suggest traders to continue with stocks specific trading approach.

 

Derivatives Overview & Outlook

Yesterday, Banknifty and Finnifty futures saw a decline in open interest by around 23% and 16.5% respectively on short covering, while Midcapnifty futures witnessed some long unwinding with a decrease in open interest by 15%. On the other hand, Nifty futures saw no significant price changes, but open interest shed by 15% on the scheduled monthly expiry.

Nifty and Banknifty futures rolled 72% & 77% of open interest respectively into next contracts which is higher than previous month rollovers of 69% & 70% respectively.

On option front, Nifty will start the first weekly contracts of the January series with a maximum position at 26000 CE and 26000 PE.

 

Institutional Trading Activity

Yesterday, FIIs sold stocks worth Rs 3844 Cr in the cash segment, sold index futures worth Rs 787 Cr and bought stocks futures worth Rs 4618 Cr. DIIs were net buyers in the cash segment to the tune of Rs 6160 Cr.

 

Nifty Futures, Banknifty Futures and Finnifty Futures Key Levels

Nifty – Resistances 26200-26300; Supports 26050-25950

Banknifty – Resistances 59900-60200; Supports 59200-58800

Finnifty – Resistances 27450-27600; Supports -27300- 27200

 

F&O Security in Ban Today:   NIL

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