Nifty Overview & Outlook

Taking strong global cues into account and buoyed by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, the Indian benchmark index Nifty opened with a gap-up on Monday. It nearly reached the psychological 25000 mark before reversing, giving up earlier gains to close flat. Similarly, Bank Nifty started positively and surged over 1000 points, mainly due to Bandhan Bank’s 10%+ gain and the performance of most PSU Banks. However, Bank Nifty also retraced from its morning highs, ending up 0.2%.

In contrast, the broader markets outperformed the benchmark index, with the Midcap and Smallcap indices rising by 0.8% and 1.3%, respectively. The Nifty PSU Banking index led the gains with a 2.3% increase, followed by the Nifty Media and Nifty Realty indices, which grew by 1.8% and 1.4% respectively. Conversely, the defensive sectors lagged, with Nifty IT and Nifty FMCG declining by 0.4% and 0.3% respectively. Overall market breadth was positive, with 316 stocks advancing and 180 declining.

From a technical point of view, Nifty attempted its third consecutive uptick rally on Monday but faced profit-taking, closing below the previous Double Top level of 24855-24860. So above the said zone, we hold the immediate resistance at 25015, followed by 25270. Should Nifty continue to experience profit booking below 24810, we hold support levels at 24700 and 24510.

Derivatives Overview & Outlook

Yesterday, no significant activity was seen among index futures on price front, whereas on open interest front, Banknifty and Midcap Nifty futures shed around 5.5% & 16.5% of open interest respectively as short covering and Finnifty futures added around 23% of open interest as short buildup.

Majority of F&O sectors settled higher. Amongst them, Media, Auto, Chemicals and Oil & Gas stocks witnessed maximum addition of short positions whereas some short covering was seen among Banking and Realty stocks.

On options front, call writing was seen at 25000 strikes along with put writing at 25000 strikes and maximum positions are at 24000 PE closely followed by 24500 PE and 25500 CE closely followed by 25000 CE.

Institutional Trading Activity

Yesterday, FIIs sold stocks worth Rs 2475 Cr in the cash segment, sold stocks futures worth Rs 1351 Cr and bought index futures worth Rs 1673 Cr. DIIs were net buyers in the cash segment to the tune of Rs 5666 Cr.

Nifty Futures, Banknifty Futures and Finnifty Key Levels

Nifty – Resistances 25000-25100; Supports 24800-24700

Banknifty – Resistances 52000-52400; Supports 51000-50500

Finnifty – Resistances 23400-23500; Supports 23200-23100

Globe Capital Market Limited (“GCML”) is a Stock Broker registered with BSE, NSE, MCX, NCDEX, ICEX and MSEI in all the major segments viz. Capital, F & O and CDS segments. GCML is also a Depository Participant and registered with both the Depositories viz. CDSL and NSDL. Further, GCML is a SEBI registered Portfolio Manager and Research Analyst. GCML includes subsidiaries, group and associate companies, promoters, directors, employees and affiliates.

Globe Commodities Limited, Globe Derivatives and Securities Limited & Globe Fincap Limited are subsidiaries of GCML. Rolex Finvest Private Limited, A to Z Consultants Private Limited, A to Z Venture Capital Limited, M. Agarwal Stock Brokers Private Limited, A M Share Brokers Private Limited, Shri Adinath Advertising Company Pvt. Ltd., Orient Landbase Private Limited, Bolt Synthetic Private Limited, Price ponder Private Limited and Lakshya Impex Private Limited  are associates of GCML.

This report has been prepared by GCML and published in accordance with the provisions of Regulation 19 of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014, for use by the recipient as information only and is not for general circulation or public distribution. This report is not to be altered, transmitted, reproduced, copied, redistributed, uploaded, published or made available to others, in any form, in whole or in part, for any purpose without prior written permission from GCML. The projections and the forecasts described in this report are based on estimates and assumptions and are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies. Projections and forecasts are necessarily speculative in nature, and it can be expected that one or more of the estimates on which the projections are forecasts were based may not materialize or may vary significantly from actual results and such variations will likely increase over the period of time. This report should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, purchase or subscribe to any securities, and neither this report nor anything contained therein shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objective, financial situation or needs of any individual in particular. The research analysts of GCML have adhered to the code of conduct under Regulation 24 (2) of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014. The recipients of this report must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial situation or needs and other factors. The recipients should consider and independently evaluate whether it is suitable for its/ his/ her/their particular circumstances and if necessary, seek professional / financial advice as there is substantial risk of loss. GCML does not take any responsibility thereof.

Any such recipient shall be responsible for conducting his/her/its/their own investigation and analysis of the information contained or referred to in this report and of evaluating the merits and risks involved in securities forming the subject matter of this report. The price and value of the investment referred to in this report and income from them may go up as well as down, and investors may realize profit/loss on their investments. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in the projection.

This report has been prepared by GCML based on the information available in the public domain and other public sources believed to be reliable. Though utmost care has been taken to ensure its accuracy and completeness, no representation or warranty, express or implied is made by GCML that such information is accurate or complete and/or is independently verified. The contents of this report represent the assumptions and projections of GCML and GCML does not guarantee the accuracy or reliability of any projection, assurances or advice made herein. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and/or tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to recipients’ specific circumstances.

Since GCML or its associates are engaged in various financial activities, they might have financial interest or beneficial ownership in various companies including subject company/companies mentioned in the report. GCML or its associates have not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking from the subject company in the past 12 months.  GCML or its associates might have received any compensation including brokerage services and for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking from the subject company in the past 12 months. It is confirmed that GCML or research analyst or its associates have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past 12 months.

Research analyst or GCML or its relatives’/associates’ have no material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report. Neither research analyst nor GCML are engaged in market making activity for the subject company. It is confirmed that research analysts do not serve as an officer, director or employee of the subject company. It is also confirmed that research analyst have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past 12 months. GCML or its associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the Subject Company or third party in connection with the research report.

No material disciplinary action has been taken on GCML by any regulatory authority impacting Equity Research Analysis activities.

The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. This information is subject to change, as per applicable law, without any prior notice. GCML reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this statement, as may be required, from time to time.

Research analyst or GCML or its relatives’/associates’ do not have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more in securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the document.

Registration granted by SEBI, membership of BASL (in case of IAs) and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors.