US consumer inflation cools down on lower domestic demand: Daily Market Update - 16 May 2024 | Globe Capital Market LTD.
16-May-2024
US consumer inflation cools down on lower domestic demand: Daily Market Update – 16 May 2024

Consumer prices rose 0.3% from March to April down slightly from 0.4% the previous month. Measured year-over-year, inflation ticked down from 3.5% to 3.4%. And a gauge of underlying inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, reached its lowest level in three years.

Overview and Outlook

Global Stock Market Today

  • US equity markets settled higher in range 1% to 1.5%.
  • European equity markets also settled higher in range 0.2% to 0.8%.
  • Asian equity markets are trading higher.
  • GIFT Nifty is trading up by 100 points, Nifty futures likely to open around 22400 levels (as on 8:30AM).

 

News highlights from across the globe

  • Markets in Asia-Pacific region are trading higher on risk-on sentiment after U.S. inflation data assured market participants the Federal Reserve is likely to ease monetary condition soon.
  • On sequential basis, the U.S. Consumer Price Index slowed to 0.3% in April, from 0.4% in the preceding month. The sequential figure is less than 0.4% analysts estimated in a Bloomberg’s survey.
  • The U.S. CPI came at 3.4% on year in April from 3.5% from 3.4% in March.

 

Important news updates from the domestic front

  • Jindal Stainless Q4 FY24 (Consolidated, YoY) Revenue down 3.2% at Rs 9,454 crore vs Rs 9,765 crore. Ebitda down 9.5% at Rs 1,035 crore vs Rs 1,144 crore. Margin at 10.9% vs 11.7%. Net profit down 30% at Rs 501 crore vs Rs 716 crore.
  • Dixon Technologies Q4 FY24 Highlights (Consolidated, YoY) Revenue up 52% to Rs 4,658 crore vs Rs 3,065 crore. Ebitda rose 19.2% to Rs 243 crore vs Rs 204 crore. Ebitda margin 5.2% vs 6.7%. Net profit up 20.7% to Rs 97 crore vs Rs 81 crore.
  • Berger Paints India Q4 FY24 (Consolidated, YoY) Revenue up 3% Rs 2,520 crore vs Rs 2,444 crore. Ebitda down 4.8% at Rs 351 crore vs Rs 369 crore. Margin at 13.9% vs 15.1%. Net profit up 20% Rs 223 crore vs Rs 186 crore.
  • Infosys and SAP Emarsys collaborated to deliver an enhanced personalised omnichannel experience for clients.
  • Star Cement: NCLT approved the amalgamation of 3 units with the arm Star Cement Meghalaya.
  • Eicher Motors’s unit, VE Commercial Vehicles, enters into a joint venture agreement with Triangle Infotech.
  • Mankind Pharma clarified that the article stating the company’s plan to acquire a stake in Bharat Serum is speculative in nature.
  • Quick Heal Technologies partnered with EET Group for cybersecurity solutions in Europe.

 

Nifty Overview & Outlook

Benchmark Nifty index opened with a gap on the higher side but failed to hold near resistance levels of 22300 levels, and settled on a flat note at 22200 levels after a lackluster trading session.

Broader markets outperformed the benchmark as Mid and Small cap indices gained 0.70% & 0.58% respectively.

Performance on the sectoral front was mix. PSU bank index was the top performer, gained 1.42% followed by Realty index that rose over 1%. On the other hand, FMCG index was at the bottom of the tally, fell nearly 1%.

The bounce back in Nifty index took a pause around the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of previous down move from 22795 to 21821 levels. Technically, Nifty index is still trading in a broad range of 21800-22800 levels. Going ahead, crossover and sustenance above 22325 will hold the key for any sustainable up move towards 22550 in immediate near term.

 

Derivatives Overview & Outlook

Yesterday, short buildup was seen in Banknifty and Finnifty futures as both added around 5.3% and 21.6% of open interest respectively whereas no major development was seen in Nifty and Midcap nifty futures on price as well as on open interest front.

Performance on the sectoral front was mix. Amongst them, Pharma and Oil & Gas stocks witnessed some addition of long positions whereas Chemical and FMCG stocks were down on short buildup along with some long unwinding in Automobile, Cement and Media stocks.

On options front, put writing along with call writing was seen at multiple strikes and maximum positions are at 22000 PE and 22500 CE. Options data indicating continuation of sideways move in a board range.

 

Institutional Trading Activity

Yesterday, FIIs sold stocks worth Rs 2833 Cr in the cash segment, sold stocks futures worth Rs 2793 Cr and also sold index futures worth Rs 1967 Cr. DIIs were net buyer in the cash segment to the tune of Rs 3788 Cr.

 

Nifty Futures, Banknifty Futures and Finnifty Key Levels

Nifty – Resistances 22400-22520; Supports 22200-22100

Banknifty – Resistances 48220-48380; Supports 47750-47600

Finnifty – Resistances 21400-21480; Supports 21200-21100

 

F&O Securities in Ban Today – BALRAMCHIN, BIOCON, BSOFT, GMRINFRA, GRANULES, HINDCOPPER, IDEA, INDIACEM, LICHSGFIN, PEL, SAIL, ZEEL

 

Important Results Today– BIOCON, CONCOR, CROMPTON, GAIL, HAL, IDEA, M&M, NAUKRI

Disclosure

Globe Capital Market Limited (“GCML”) is a Stock Broker registered with BSE, NSE, MCX, NCDEX, ICEX and MSEI in all the major segments viz. Capital, F & O and CDS segments. GCML is also a Depository Participant and registered with both the Depositories viz. CDSL and NSDL. Further, GCML is a SEBI registered Portfolio Manager and Research Analyst. GCML includes subsidiaries, group and associate companies, promoters, directors, employees and affiliates.

Globe Commodities Limited, Globe Derivatives and Securities Limited & Globe Fincap Limited are subsidiaries of GCML. Rolex Finvest Private Limited, A to Z Consultants Private Limited, A to Z Venture Capital Limited, M. Agarwal Stock Brokers Private Limited, A M Share Brokers Private Limited, Shri Adinath Advertising Company Pvt. Ltd., Orient Landbase Private Limited, Bolt Synthetic Private Limited, Price ponder Private Limited and Lakshya Impex Private Limited  are associates of GCML.

This report has been prepared by GCML and published in accordance with the provisions of Regulation 19 of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014, for use by the recipient as information only and is not for general circulation or public distribution. This report is not to be altered, transmitted, reproduced, copied, redistributed, uploaded, published or made available to others, in any form, in whole or in part, for any purpose without prior written permission from GCML. The projections and the forecasts described in this report are based on estimates and assumptions and are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies. Projections and forecasts are necessarily speculative in nature, and it can be expected that one or more of the estimates on which the projections are forecasts were based may not materialize or may vary significantly from actual results and such variations will likely increase over the period of time. This report should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, purchase or subscribe to any securities, and neither this report nor anything contained therein shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objective, financial situation or needs of any individual in particular. The research analysts of GCML have adhered to the code of conduct under Regulation 24 (2) of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014. The recipients of this report must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial situation or needs and other factors. The recipients should consider and independently evaluate whether it is suitable for its/ his/ her/their particular circumstances and if necessary, seek professional / financial advice as there is substantial risk of loss. GCML does not take any responsibility thereof.

Any such recipient shall be responsible for conducting his/her/its/their own investigation and analysis of the information contained or referred to in this report and of evaluating the merits and risks involved in securities forming the subject matter of this report. The price and value of the investment referred to in this report and income from them may go up as well as down, and investors may realize profit/loss on their investments. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in the projection.

This report has been prepared by GCML based on the information available in the public domain and other public sources believed to be reliable. Though utmost care has been taken to ensure its accuracy and completeness, no representation or warranty, express or implied is made by GCML that such information is accurate or complete and/or is independently verified. The contents of this report represent the assumptions and projections of GCML and GCML does not guarantee the accuracy or reliability of any projection, assurances or advice made herein. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and/or tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to recipients’ specific circumstances.

Since GCML or its associates are engaged in various financial activities, they might have financial interest or beneficial ownership in various companies including subject company/companies mentioned in the report. GCML or its associates have not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking from the subject company in the past 12 months.  GCML or its associates might have received any compensation including brokerage services and for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking from the subject company in the past 12 months. It is confirmed that GCML or research analyst or its associates have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past 12 months.

Research analyst or GCML or its relatives’/associates’ have no material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report. Neither research analyst nor GCML are engaged in market making activity for the subject company. It is confirmed that research analysts do not serve as an officer, director or employee of the subject company. It is also confirmed that research analyst have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past 12 months. GCML or its associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the Subject Company or third party in connection with the research report.

No material disciplinary action has been taken on GCML by any regulatory authority impacting Equity Research Analysis activities.

The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. This information is subject to change, as per applicable law, without any prior notice. GCML reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this statement, as may be required, from time to time.

Research analyst or GCML or its relatives’/associates’ do not have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more in securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the document.

Registration granted by SEBI, membership of BASL (in case of IAs) and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors.