US Federal Reserve keeps key lending rate unchanged, signals one cut in 2024 : Daily Market Update -13 June 2024 | Globe Capital Market LTD.
13-Jun-2024
US Federal Reserve keeps key lending rate unchanged, signals one cut in 2024 : Daily Market Update -13 June 2024

The US Federal Reserve left its key lending rate unchanged and said that it expects to cut rates just once this year, down from the three expected in March. The Fed voted unanimously to maintain its benchmark interest rate between 5.25 and 5.50 per cent. It noted "modest" progress made toward its long-term inflation target of two percent and raised their inflation forecasts for 2024 while keeping their growth outlook unchanged.

Overview and Outlook

Global Stock Market Today

  • Barring DOW, other US equity markets settled higher.
  • European equity markets also settled higher in range 0.82% to 1.40%.
  • Majority of Asian equity markets are also trading higher.
  • GIFT Nifty is up by 100 points, Nifty futures likely to open around 23450 levels (as on 8:15AM).

 

News highlights from across the globe

  • Equity markets in Asia-Pacific are trading higher on Thursday after the US Federal Reserve kept its benchmark federal rates unchanged for seventh time, and as inflation data came softer than anticipated.
  • The US Consumer Price Index fell to 3.3% on year in May, against 3.4% analysts projected in a Bloomberg survey. Core CPI, which keeps aside volatile food and energy prices, eased to 3.4% compared to 3.5% analysts forecasted.
  • The US stocks reached new all-time peaks as a widespread easing of inflation led to a sharp drop in bond yields, prompting traders to wager that the Federal Reserve may cut rates for two times despite dot plots indicating one.

 

Important news updates from the domestic front

  • India’s Retail Inflation eases to the lowest in a year at 4.75% in May 2024.
  • Tata Power strengthens its nationwide e-bus charging network with high-capacity, fast charging points.
  • Firstsource Solution: Prasant Nadella has resigned as President and Chief Operating Officer and Senior Management Personnel of the company.
  • LT Finance: Shareholders of the company are to offer 8.82 crore shares at Rs 169.7 apiece, as per Bloomberg data.
  • Nestle India: The board approved the continuation of royalty payments at the current rate of 4.5% to the parent company.
  • Amber Enterprises  acquired an additional 4.6% stake in IL JIN Electronics for Rs 33 crore.
  • Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories’s step-down subsidiary, Dr. Reddy’s USA and Ingenus Pharmaceuticals have entered into a license agreement under which Dr. Reddy’s USA has licensed from Ingenus the exclusive rights to commercialise cyclophosphamide injection RTD in the United States.
  • Whirlpool of India signed a three-year joint marketing pact with HUL for product marketing and advertorials.
  • Exide Industries invested Rs 75 crore by subscribing to the right issue of subsidiary Exide Energy Solutions. The total investment stands at Rs 2,452.24 crore.
  • Sobha approved the rights issue to open on June 28 and close on July 4 at a price of Rs 1,651 per share.

 

Nifty Overview & Outlook

The Indian benchmark index Nifty experienced another session of subdued activity at its peak due to a lack of widespread buying interest. Despite starting the session positively, the index faced selling pressure in the latter half and closed with a modest gain of 0.3%. Similarly, Bank Nifty saw a gradual decline after a promising start, ending the day with a 0.4% increase.

On the contrary, both the broader market indices continued their upside rally for the 6th consecutive session after a sharp decline on June 04. Thereby both Midcap and Smallcap posted relatively stronger performance compared to the benchmark index and gained 1% plus each.

Regarding sector performance, Nifty Media maintained its top spot for the third consecutive day, posting growth of nearly 1.9%. Nifty PSU Banks also saw a notable increase of 1.2%. However, some sectoral indices closed slightly lower, with the FMCG index leading the decline with a loss of 0.5%.

The Nifty continues to face challenges at its peak, showing a pattern of opening positively but encountering selling pressure towards the end of the day, often closing below the upper trendline of the upward sloping channel pattern. The support level remains at 22,910, and despite the flat closing, there are no clear signs of a reversal yet. Therefore, in case of a rebound, resistance levels are maintained at 23,410 and subsequently at 23,760

 

Derivatives Overview & Outlook

Yesterday, long buildup was seen in Nifty and Midcap nifty futures with increase in open interest by 4.6% and 3.2% respectively, whereas some short covering was observed in Banknifty and Finnifty futures with decrease in open interest by 3.5% and 8.3% respectively.

All F&O sectors, barring FMCG & Pharma, settled higher. Amongst them, Cement, Finance, Media and Technology stocks witnessed maximum addition of long positions.

On option front, call writing along with put writing was seen at multiple strikes with maximum positions at 24000 CE followed by 23500 CE and 23000 PE closely followed by 23200 PE.

 

Institutional Trading Activity

Yesterday, FIIs bought stocks worth Rs 427 Cr in the cash segment, bought stocks futures worth Rs 108 Cr and also bought index futures worth Rs 2997 Cr. DIIs were net buyer in the cash segment to the tune of Rs 234 Cr.

 

Nifty Futures, Banknifty Futures and Finnifty Key Levels

Nifty – Resistances 23460-23520; Supports 23300-23200

Banknifty – Resistances 50250-50500; Supports 49600-49200

Finnifty – Resistances 22410-22500; Supports 22100-22000

 

F&O Securities in Ban Today – BALRAMCHIN, GMRINFRA, HINDCOPPER, INDIACEM, SAIL.

Disclosure

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