JPMorgan says India Debt Index inclusion on track : Daily Market Update - 10 May 2024 | Globe Capital Market LTD.
10-May-2024
JPMorgan says India Debt Index inclusion on track : Daily Market Update – 10 May 2024

JPMorgan Chase & Co. is on track to include India in its emerging market debt index from June with most of its clients ready to trade, according to the firm’s global head of index research. JPMorgan estimates foreign inflows will be between $20 billion and $25 billion, assuming an index-neutral position. “Based on the annual Index Governance Consultation process, market feedback so far has been largely positive, with the majority of our index clients already set up to trade in the IGB market,” managing director Gloria Kim said in an emailed reply to questions.

Overview and Outlook

Global Stock Market Today

  • US equity markets settled higher in range 0.27% to 0.85%.
  • European equity markets also settled higher in range 0.30% to 1%.
  • Majority of Asian equity markets are trading in green.
  • GIFT Nifty is up by 30 points, Nifty futures likely to open around 22125 levels (as on 8:30AM).

 

News highlights from across the globe

  • Benchmarks in the Asia-Pacific region are trading higher as higher than expected initial jobless claims in the U.S. fuelled hopes the Federal Reserve will cut rates soon.
  • Number of people filing for initial unemployment benefits in the U.S. rose 22,000 to seasonally adjusted 231,000 in the week ended May 4, marking the highest level since last August. A Bloomberg survey forecasted 212,000 claims for the week.
  • Brent crude was trading 0.38% higher at $84.20 a barrel.

 

Important news updates from the domestic front

  • BPCL (Standalone, QoQ) Revenue up 1.62% at Rs 1,16 lakh crore vs Rs 1,15 lakh crore. Ebitda up 47.97% at Rs 9,213 crore vs Rs 6,226 crore. Margin up 251 bps at 7.9% vs 5.39%. Net profit up 24.34% at Rs 4224 crore vs Rs 3397 crore. Board recommended final dividend of Rs 21 per share. Bonus issue in the ratio of 1:1. Note: Exceptional item of Rs 1798 crore.
  • Mahanagar Gas (Consolidated, QoQ) Revenue up 2.76% at Rs 1,613 crore vs Rs 1569 crore. Ebitda down 11.95% at Rs 395 crore vs Rs 449 crore. Margin down 410 bps at 24.49% vs 28.6%. Net profit down 20.46% at Rs 252 crore vs Rs 317 crore. Recommended final dividend of Rs 18 per share.
  • Abbott India (Consolidated, YoY) Revenue up 7.14% at Rs 1439 crore vs Rs 1343 crore. Ebitda up 17.71%at Rs 330 crore vs Rs 280.35 crore. Margin up 205 bps at 22.93% vs 20.87%. Net profit up 24.04% at Rs 287.06 crore vs Rs 231.42 crore . Recommended final dividend of Rs 410 per share.
  • One 97 Communications: Paytm has refuted media reports on its lending partners invoking loan guarantees due to repayment defaults. The company acts as a distributor of loans and does not provide a first-loss default guarantee or other loan guarantees to its lending partners.
  • Brigade Enterprises will develop a residential project in Bengaluru, with a gross development value of Rs 660 crore.
  • Adani Enterprises’s Mauritius-based arm, Adani Global, acquired a 49% stake in UAE-based Sirius Digitech for $24,500.
  • Tata Steel increases its stake in the arm of Indian Steel & Wire to 98.61%.
  • Life Insurance Corp  received a GST, interest and penalty order worth Rs 127 crore, including interest of Rs 114 crore.
  • Solara Active will raise Rs 450 crore via a rights issue.

 

Nifty Overview & Outlook

After a day’s breather, the benchmark Nifty encountered another significant decline on Thursday, plummeting below the 22000 mark and ultimately closing down by 1.5%. Similarly, the Bank Nifty also closed more than 1% lower.

The Midcap index performed worse than the benchmark, dropping by 2%, Smallcap index too experienced a steeper decline, closing 2.5% lower.

Across sectors, with the exception of the Auto sector, which started positively and maintained optimism throughout the session, all other sectors ended in the red. The Energy sector led the downturn, declining by almost 3%. The Auto index, however, managed to close with a gain of 0.8%.

Technically, the Nifty observed a breakdown from an upward sloping channel, falling below the 22000 level. The next support levels to watch are 21775-21710, representing the previous support zone, followed by 21530. On the upside, potential resistance levels are at 22135 and 22260 in case of a pullback.

 

Derivatives Overview & Outlook

Yesterday, all F&O indices (Nifty, Banknifty, Finnifty and Mid cap Nifty) witnessed addition of short positions in range 3% to 20%.

All F&O sectors settled lower. Amongst them, Media, FMCG, Capital Goods and  Oil & Gas index witnessed maximum addition of short positions. On the other hand, some long  unwinding was seen among Chemical stocks.

On options front, Nifty will start the new weekly contract with maximum positions at maximum positions are at 2200 PE closely followed by 21000 & 21500 PE and 22500 CE closely followed by 22300 CE.

 

Institutional Trading Activity

Yesterday, FIIs sold stocks worth Rs 6995 Cr in the cash segment, sold index futures worth Rs 3882 Cr and also sold stocks futures worth Rs 3085 Cr. On the other hand, DIIs were net buyer in the cash segment to the tune of Rs 5643 Cr.

 

Nifty Futures, Banknifty Futures and Finnifty Key Levels

Nifty – Resistances 22180-22300; Supports 21980-21900

Banknifty – Resistances 47950-48250; Supports 47400-47100

Finnifty – Resistances 21280-21350; Supports 21100-21900

 

F&O Securities in Ban Today – ABFRL, BALRAMCHIN, CANBK, GMRINFRA, IDEA, PEL, PNB, SAIL, ZEEL

 

Important Results Today– AARTIIND, BANKBARODA, CIPLA, EICHERMOT, LALPATHLAB, POLYCAB

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