0%
Commodity
27-Aug-20261 min readSandeep Globe

Commodity Morning Trading Guide

Get a Smart Summary Instantly

Prompt copied

Bullions counter may open on green as gold prices drifted higher on Thursday as so-called currency debasement fears lingered, while attention shifted ‌to highly anticipated remarks from U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh this week. Gold prices rose more than 5% last week after the U.S. Treasury’s move to expand purchases of older long-dated bonds. This announcement prompted dollar-debasement fears.

MORNING RECOMMENDATION
Our Recommendations
Contracts Previous Close Target Stop loss Recommendation
COPPER (SEP) 1391 1389 1398 SELL NEAR @ 1395

COMMODITY DAILY MARKET NEWS AND OUTLOOK

BULLIONS

  • Bullions counter may open on green as gold prices drifted higher on Thursday as so-called currency debasement fears lingered, while attention shifted ‌to highly anticipated remarks from U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh this week. Gold prices rose more than 5% last week after the U.S. Treasury’s move to expand purchases of older long-dated bonds. This announcement prompted dollar-debasement fears.
  • Gold (Oct) can move in range of 162400-163800 while silver (Dec) can move in range of 246000-252000.
  • Fed Chair Warsh’s remarks at the annual Jackson Hole symposium in Wyoming are expected to be closely watched for further direction. Markets are assigning ‌a ⁠36.5% probability to a September U.S. rate hike and a 72.7% chance by December, according to the CME Fed Watch Tool.

BASE METALS

  • In base metal counter, Copper prices can trade on firm path as it can move in range of 1385-1410. The International Copper Study Group reported a 60,000-tonne refined copper deficit in June, compared with a 15,000-tonne surplus in May, as global output reached 2.37 million tonnes against consumption of 2.43 million tonnes.
  • Inventories in LME-approved warehouses have halved since May to less than 210,000 tons as traders shifted copper to the United States ahead of possible tariffs on refined-metal imports.
  • Aluminum prices can trade on mixed path as it may move in range of 342-348. The aluminium market is betting that increased exports from China and Indonesia can offset the loss of production in the Gulf region due to the Iran war.

ENERGY

  • Crude oil may trade on weaker path as it can move in range of 7700-7900. Oil prices fell on Thursday, extending a streak of losses, on expectations that talks between Iran and Qatar might open the Strait of Hormuz and reduce supply disruptions from the war in the Middle East.
  • Iran and Oman are working on finalizing details of an agreement to control the Strait of Hormuz, a senior Iranian source said on Wednesday, after Iran’s Revolutionary Guards said the two countries had agreed how to share the waterway that connects major Gulf oil ​producers to markets and its revenues.
  • The strait carried oil and natural gas shipments equal to about one-fifth ⁠of global consumption of the fuels before the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran started on February 28. Since Iran worked to shut ​the waterway in response, oil flows have dropped to about one-quarter of their pre-war level, according to ship-tracking data.
  • Natural gas may trade with mixed path as it can move in range of 274-285.
Important Pivot Levels
Contracts Expiry S2 S1 R1 R2
GOLD OCT 158000 159000 161500 162500
SILVER DEC 242000 245000 252000 256000
CRUDEOIL SEP 7450 7650 7950 8050
NATURAL GAS SEP 260 270 290 295
COPPER SEP 1380 1385 1410 1420
ZINC SEP 390 410 425 435
LEAD SEP 186 192 206 213
ALUMINIUM SEP 340 340 355 365
GUARSEED SEP 6000 6100 6450 6550
COCUDAKL SEP 3000 3100 3500 3600
COMEX($) AND NYMEX($)
GOLD SPOT 4400 4500 4750 4850
SILVER SPOT 63 65 71 73
CRUDE OIL WTI SPOT 76 78 84 88
NG SPOT 2.5 2.4 3.4 3.6
ECONOMIC CALENDER
DATE TIME(IST) COUNTRY ECONOMIC EVENT FORECAST PREVIOUS
27 Aug 2026
17:30 US Jackson Hole Symposium
18:00 US Initial Jobless Claims 208K 206K

Disclosure

Globe Capital Market Limited (“GCML”) is a Stock Broker registered with BSE, NSE, MCX, NCDEX, and MSEI in all the major segments viz. Capital, F & O and CDS segments. GCML is also a Depository Participant and registered with both the Depositories viz. CDSL and NSDL. Further, GCML is a SEBI registered Portfolio Manager and Research Analyst. GCML includes subsidiaries, group and associate companies, promoters, directors, employees and affiliates. AY Securities and Commodities Limited, Globe Derivatives and Securities Limited & Globe Fincap Limited are subsidiaries of GCML. AtoZ Finstock Private Limited, A to Z Consultants Private Limited, A to Z Venture Capital Limited, M. Agarwal Stock Brokers Private Limited, A M Share Brokers Private Limited, Shri Adinath Advertising Company Pvt. Ltd., Orient Landbase Private Limited, Bolt Synthetic Private Limited, Price ponder Private Limited and Lakshya Impex Private Limited are the associates of GCML.

This report has been prepared by GCML and published in accordance with the provisions of Regulation 19 of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014, for use by the recipient as information only and is not for general circulation or public distribution. This report is not to be altered, transmitted, reproduced, copied, redistributed, uploaded, published or made available to others, in any form, in whole or in part, for any purpose without prior written permission from GCML. The projections and the forecasts described in this report are based on estimates and assumptions and are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies. Projections and forecasts are necessarily speculative in nature, and it can be expected that one or more of the estimates on which the projections are forecasts were based may not materialize or may vary significantly from actual results and such variations will likely increase over the period of time. This report should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, purchase or subscribe to any securities, and neither this report nor anything contained therein shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objective, financial situation or needs of any individual in particular. The research analysts of GCML have adhered to the code of conduct under Regulation 24 (2) of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014. The recipients of this report must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial situation or needs and other factors. The recipients should consider and independently evaluate whether it is suitable for its/ his/ her/their particular circumstances and if necessary, seek professional / financial advice as there is substantial risk of loss. GCML does not take any responsibility thereof.

Any such recipient shall be responsible for conducting his/her/its/their own investigation and analysis of the information contained or referred to in this report and of evaluating the merits and risks involved in securities forming the subject matter of this report. The price and value of the investment referred to in this report and income from them may go up as well as down, and investors may realize profit/loss on their investments. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in the projection GC does not take any responsibility thereof. This report has been prepared by GCML based on the information available in the public domain and other public sources believed to be reliable. Though utmost care has been taken to ensure its accuracy and completeness, no representation or warranty, express or implied is made by GCML that such information is accurate or complete and/or is independently verified. The contents of this report represent the assumptions and projections of GCML and GCML does not guarantee the accuracy or reliability of any projection, assurances or advice made herein. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and/or tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to recipients’ specific circumstances.

Since GCML or its associates are engaged in various financial activities, they might have financial interest or beneficial ownership in various companies including subject company/companies mentioned in the report. GCML or its associates have not received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking from the subject company in the past 12 months. GCML or its associates might have received any compensation including brokerage services and for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking from the subject company in the past 12 months. It is confirmed that GCML or research analyst or its associates have not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past 12 months. Research analyst or GCML or its relatives’/associates’ have no material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report. Neither research analyst nor GCML are engaged in market making activity for the subject company. It is confirmed that research analysts do not serve as an officer, director or employee of the subject company. It is also confirmed that research analyst have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past 12 months.

The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. This information is subject to change, as per applicable law, without any prior notice. GCML reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this statement, as may be required, from time to time.

Research analyst or GCML or its relatives’/associates’ do not have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more in securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the document. Registration granted by SEBI, membership of BASL (in case of IAs) and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors.

Our research analysts may use AI tools to collect, summarize, and present data in order to increase productivity and enhance the clarity and readability of our reports. However, all reports are subject to human review prior to finalization and distribution to end users.

Our published research reports are the property of GCML and its associate and subsidiary companies. These reports may not be copied, reproduced, distributed or otherwise used by any other brokerage or individual firm without the prior written permission of GCML or its associate/subsidiary companies.