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Commodity
20-Aug-20261 min readSandeep Globe

Commodity Morning Trading Guide

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Bullions counter may remain on firm path as it climbed to a more-than-two-month ‌peak following a surprise U.S. Treasury liquidity-support announcement for long-duration bonds that weakened the dollar and pushed Treasury yields lower.

MORNING RECOMMENDATION

 

Our Recommendations
Contracts Previous Close Target Stop loss Recommendation
COPPER (AUG) 1372.1 1381 1372 BUY NEAR @ 1375

BULLIONS

  • Bullions counter may remain on firm path as it climbed to a more-than-two-month ‌peak following a surprise U.S. Treasury liquidity-support announcement for long-duration bonds that weakened the dollar and pushed Treasury yields lower.
  • Gold (Oct) can move in range of 156000-159500 while silver (Sep) can move in range of 231000-243000.
  • The Treasury Department announced on Wednesday it ⁠would double the size of liquidity support buyback operations for longer-dated notes and bonds. That came after a major bond selloff as investors demanded higher returns on the back of increased inflationary risks stemming from the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran.
  • Traders are currently pricing in a 67% chance of a Fed hold and a 33% chance of a rate hike in September, according to the CME Fed Watch Tool.

BASE METALS

  • In base metal counter, Copper prices can trade on mixed path as it can move in range of 1360-1385. Copper prices climbed to their highest level in more than six months on Monday as supply concerns mounted on the London Metal Exchange, where inventories have fallen to their lowest since February.
  • Inventories in LME-approved warehouses have halved since May to less than 210,000 tons as traders shifted copper to the United States ahead of possible tariffs on refined-metal imports.
  • Aluminum prices can trade on mixed path as it may move in range of 344-352. The aluminium market is betting that increased exports from China and Indonesia can offset the loss of production in the Gulf region due to the Iran war.

ENERGY

  • Crude oil may trade on volatile path as it can move in range of 8050-8200. Oil prices steadied in early trade on Thursday as investors assessed the outlook for the U.S.-Iran war and the security of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Both Brent and WTI benchmarks gained for a fourth straight session ⁠on Wednesday, settling at their highest since July 24. The September WTI contract expires later on Thursday.
  • In the U.S., crude and gasoline inventories rose and distillate ⁠stockpiles fell last week, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday. Crude inventories rose by 4.4 million barrels in the week ended on August 14, compared with estimates for a 600,000-barrel draw.
  • Natural gas may trade with mixed path as it can move in range of 264-271.
Important Pivot Levels
Contracts Expiry S2 S1 R1 R2
GOLD OCT 155000 156000 160000 165000
SILVER SEP 232000 236000 245000 248000
CRUDEOIL AUG 7900 8000 8150 8250
NATURAL GAS SEP 245 250 275 280
COPPER AUG 1350 1360 1390 1410
ZINC AUG 375 385 410 415
LEAD AUG 186 194 206 213
ALUMINIUM AUG 340 340 355 365
GUARSEED SEP 6000 6100 6450 6550
COCUDAKL SEP 3400 3500 4000 4200
COMEX($) AND NYMEX($)
GOLD SPOT 4210 4270 4550 4600
SILVER SPOT 60 63 69 71
CRUDE OIL WTI SPOT 77 79 88 90
NG SPOT 2.5 2.4 3.4 3.6
ECONOMIC CALENDER
DATE TIME(IST) COUNTRY ECONOMIC EVENT FORECAST PREVIOUS
20 Aug 2026
18:00 US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Aug) 41.4
18:00 US Initial Jobless Claims 209K
18:00 US Philly Fed Employment (Aug) 10
18:00 US Continuing Jobless Claims 1,777K

 

 

 

 

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