- Bullions counter may trade on mixed path as gold rose more than 1% on Thursday, recouping losses from the previous session, as oil prices fell after the U.S. and Iran signed an interim agreement to end their war.
Commodity Morning Trading Guide
BULLIONS
- Bullions counter may trade on mixed path as gold rose more than 1% on Thursday, recouping losses from the previous session, as oil prices fell after the U.S. and Iran signed an interim agreement to end their war.
- Gold (Aug) can move in range of 151600-153500 while silver (Jul) can move in range of 242000-252000.
- The United States and Iran released the text of their interim agreement on Wednesday, with U.S. President Donald Trump threatening to resume attacks and kill Iranian officials if they failed to honour their commitments.
- Nine of the central bank’s 19 policymakers now believe they will need to raise the policy rate this year, according to projections published on Wednesday.
- BASE METALS
- In base metal counter, Copper prices can trade on lower path as it can move in range of 1320-1345. Chinese copper smelters are in the middle of negotiations with Chilean miner Antofagasta over concentrate supply deals. Miners usually pay treatment and refining charges (TC/RCs) to smelters to process their ore into refined metal.
- The last time the copper market was considered to be in a structural deficit was in 2009. More than 15 years later, the market is again facing a supply shortfall, but the factors driving it today are more significant, more strategic, and likely to be longer lasting.
- Aluminum prices can trade on mixed path as it may move in range of 350-360.
ENERGY
- Crude oil can remain under pressure as it can move in range of 7000-7300. Oil prices fell in early trading on Thursday after the U.S. and Iran signed an interim agreement that would end the Iran war, reopen the Strait of Hormuz and waive U.S. sanctions on Tehran’s oil, resolving the largest energy supply disruption in history.
- The 14-point memorandum begins a 60-day negotiation period during which Iran will allow toll-free passage through the Strait of Hormuz, a key oil and gas shipping lane. The deal calls for traffic through the strait to be restored to its full capacity within 30 days.
- If the agreement is successfully implemented and the strait reopened, this year’s supply crisis could turn into a significant supply glut in 2027, the IEA cautioned on Wednesday, forecasting in its monthly market report that supply will outstrip demand by 5.05 million barrels per day next year as Middle East oil returns to the market.
- Natural gas may trade on mixed path as it can move in range of 296-310.


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