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Commodity
16-Jun-20261 min readSandeep Globe

Commodity Morning Trading Guide

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  • Bullions counter may trade on mixed path as preliminary U.S.-Iran peace agreement eased rate hike concerns, while investors awaited further details on the deal. U.S. President Donald Trump said on ⁠Monday a preliminary agreement to end the war in the Persian Gulf has been signed by the U.S. ​and Iran, though details have yet to be made public and both countries said a ​permanent truce is yet to be negotiated.
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MORNING RECOMMENDATION

COMMODITY DAILY MARKET NEWS AND OUTLOOK

BULLIONS

  • Bullions counter may trade on mixed path as preliminary U.S.-Iran peace agreement eased rate hike concerns, while investors awaited further details on the deal. U.S. President Donald Trump said on ⁠Monday a preliminary agreement to end the war in the Persian Gulf has been signed by the U.S. ​and Iran, though details have yet to be made public and both countries said a ​permanent truce is yet to be negotiated.
  • Gold (Aug) can move in range of 151000-154000 while silver can move in range of 246000-257000. Investors are also watching out for the Federal ‌Reserve ⁠policy decision and remarks, the first under Chair Kevin Warsh, on Wednesday, with rates widely expected to remain unchanged.
  • Traders have scaled back expectations for a U.S. rate hike in December to 57% after the peace deal, ​down from ⁠about 70% last week, according to the CME Fed Watch tool.
  • BASE METALS
  • In base metal counter, Copper prices can trade on downside path as it can move in range of 1320-1345.  Copper climbed as much as 1.4% after both sides said a deal had been reached to cease hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and begin negotiations on Iran’s nuclear program.
  • Aluminum prices can trade on lower path as it may move in range of 350-360. China’s aluminum production rose by 1.7 % to 3.89 million metric tons in May from a year earlier, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics on Tuesday. Production of ten nonferrous metals – including copper, aluminum, lead, zinc and nickel – rose 2.2 % to 6.98 million metric tons from a year earlier.

ENERGY

  • Crude oil can witness some short covering as it can move in range of 7500-7800. Oil prices rebounded on Tuesday on concerns about the lack of details in a preliminary agreement ending the war between the U.S. and Iran and the realization the resumption of supply through the key Strait of Hormuz may take longer than thought. Despite the optimism following the announcement, the full details of the memorandum have not been released publicly and a permanent truce has not been worked out.
  • Early indications are the agreement would reopen the blockaded Strait of Hormuz and extend a ceasefire for 60 days, allowing negotiators to tackle difficult issues like the future of Iran’s nuclear program.
  • On Monday, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said the U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding was an “important step” toward stopping the fighting but a final agreement for a lasting truce “has yet to take shape.
  • Natural gas may trade on weaker path as it can move in range of 292-304.

 

 

 

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