Commodity Morning Trading Guide | Globe Capital Market LTD.
15-Jul-2024
Commodity Morning Trading Guide

Bullions counter may trade on mixed path as the dollar held firm, while investors awaited comments from Federal Reserve officials and economic data for further cues on U.S. interest rate trajectory.

Report Overview

BULLIONS

•Bullions counter may trade on mixed path as the dollar held firm, while investors awaited comments from Federal Reserve officials and economic data for further cues on U.S. interest rate trajectory.
•Overall gold can move in range of 72750 -73600 while silver also can move in range of 92500 -94500.
•Fed Chair Jerome Powell is due to speak later in the day and a few other officials later in the week. Data sets due this week include U.S. retail sales, industrial output for June and weekly jobless claims.
•Markets are pricing in a 93% chance the Fed will cut rates in September, according to the CME Fedwatch Tool. Non-yielding bullion’s appeal tends to shine in a low interest rate environment.

BASE METALS

•In base metal counter, Copper prices can trade on weaker path as it can move range of 863-875. Prices of London copper dropped on Monday as the dollar firmed, while investors awaited economic data from top metals consumer China for more clues on global demand.
•Aluminium prices are expected to move in range of 226-230. China’s aluminium production rose by 6.2 % to 3.67 million tonnes in June from a year earlier, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics on Monday.
•A busy week for data kicks off with Chinese gross domestic product (GDP) on Monday where annual growth is seen slowing slightly to 5.1% in the second quarter. Retail sales and industrial output for June are also due, while China’s gathering of top officials runs from July 15-18.

ENERGY

•Crude oil may trade positive path as it may move in range of 6850-6960. Oil prices fell for a second day on Monday as the dollar gained ground amid political uncertainty in the U.S. following an attack on U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump while investors eyed the progress of talks for a Gaza ceasefire.
•Natural gas can trade on mixed as it can move in range of 186-194.
•China’s crude oil imports fell 2.3% in the first half of this year to 11.05 million barrels per day amid disappointing fuel demand and as independent refiners reduced production due to weak profit margins.
•In the Middle East, talks on ending the Gaza conflict between Israel and Hamas halted on Saturday after three days, though a Hamas official said on Sunday it has not withdrawn from discussions. At the same time, an Israeli attack targeting the group’s military leader killed 90 people on Saturday.

Disclosure

Globe Capital Market Limited (“GCML”) is a Stock Broker registered with BSE, NSE, USE and MSEI in all the major segments viz. Capital, F & O and CDS segments. GCML is also a Depository Participant and registered with both the Depositories viz. CDSL and NSDL. Further, GCML is a SEBI registered Portfolio Manager. GCML includes subsidiaries, group and associate companies, promoters, directors, employees and affiliates.

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