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Commodity
12-Nov-20251 min readSandeep Globe

Commodity Morning Trading Guide

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  • Bullions counter may trade on mixed path bias as gold rose for a fourth straight session on Wednesday, supported by a weaker dollar and expectations that the reopening of the U.S. government and flow of economic data will strengthen bets for an interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve next month.
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BULLIONS

  • Bullions counter may trade on mixed path bias as gold rose for a fourth straight session on Wednesday, supported by a weaker dollar and expectations that the reopening of the U.S. government and flow of economic data will strengthen bets for an interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve next month.
  • Overall Gold (Dec) can move in range of 123300-125000 while silver (Dec) can move in range of 155000-157500.
  • The U.S. Senate passed a deal on Monday to restore federal funding after a record-long shutdown that has disrupted food benefits for millions, left hundreds of thousands of federal workers unpaid, snarled air traffic, and delayed the release of government economic data.
  • Fed Governor Stephen Miran said on Monday a 50-bps rate cut would be appropriate for December, noting that inflation is falling while the unemployment rate is drifting higher.

BASE METALS

  • In base metal counter, Copper (Nov) prices can trade on upside path as it can move in range of 1005-1016. Copper was little changed on Wednesday after U.S. private-sector labor data added to expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, while markets looked to progress on ending the prolonged U.S. government shutdown.
  • Payroll processor ADP said on Tuesday that firms in the United States shed more than 11,000 jobs in the week through late October, though it reported last week that 42,000 jobs were added in the full month of October.
  • Meanwhile, the longest U.S. government shutdown in history is nearing a possible end, as members of the Republican-controlled House of Representatives returned to Washington on Tuesday for a vote on a bill to fund federal agencies.
  • Aluminum (Nov) prices can trade on mixed path as it may move in range of 271-276.while Zinc (Nov) may move on upside path as it may trade in range of 300-307.

ENERGY

  • Crude oil (Nov) may trade with mixed path as it can move in range of 5330-5430. Oil prices were little changed on Wednesday after rising in the previous session amid expectations that an end to the longest-ever U.S. government shutdown could boost demand in the world’s biggest crude consuming nation.
  • The U.S. Republican-controlled House of Representatives is set to vote on Wednesday afternoon on a bill, already signed off by the Senate that would restore funding to government agencies through January 30.
  • Natural gas (Nov) may remain on volatile path as it can move in range of 395-410.
  • On the supply side, the fallout is emerging from U.S. sanctions against Russia’s two biggest oil producers, Lukoil and Rosneft, further supporting prices.
  • An end to the U.S. government shutdown, which has disrupted tens of thousands of flights in the last few days alone, could also lead to a rebound in travel and jet fuel consumption ahead of the upcoming holiday season.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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