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Commodity
01-Sep-20261 min readSandeep Globe

Commodity Morning Trading Guide

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Bullions counter may trade on volatile path as gold prices remained subdued on Tuesday as trader’s assessed Middle East tensions and awaited ‌key U.S. labour market data due this week that could shape expectations for Federal Reserve monetary policy.

MORNING RECOMMENDATION
Our Recommendations
Contracts Previous Close Target Stop loss Recommendation
COPPER (SEP) 1389.7 1386 1395 SELL NEAR @ 1392

BULLIION

  • Bullions counter may trade on volatile path as gold prices remained subdued on Tuesday as trader’s assessed Middle East tensions and awaited ‌key U.S. labour market data due this week that could shape expectations for Federal Reserve monetary policy.
  • Gold (Oct) can move in range of 153500-155500 while silver (Dec) can move in range of 237000-243000.
  • Key U.S. data this week include job openings, the ADP employment report and nonfarm ⁠payrolls data that will be scrutinized for clues on labour market health and the interest rate outlook.
  • Spot gold scaled a more than three-month high last week before tumbling more than ​3% on Friday after Chair Kevin Warsh said the Fed will “have work to do” if policymakers don’t get the confidence they need that inflation is heading down to 2%.

BASE METALS

  • In base metal counter, Copper prices can trade on sideways path as it can move in range of 1380-1400. Copper nudged down on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) on Monday, as bets of higher-for-longer U.S. interest rates offset supply concerns, which earlier had boosted the metal to a monthly rise in August.
  • Aluminum prices can trade on mixed path as it may move in range of 344-350. The aluminium market is betting that increased exports from China and Indonesia can offset the loss of production in the Gulf region due to the Iran war.

ENERGY

  • Crude oil may trade on firm path as it can move in range of 8100-8350. Oil prices rose on Tuesday as renewed tensions between the US and Iran in the Middle East heightened concerns over potential supply disruptions from the world’s major crude-producing region.
  • Crude oil prices rose above $86 per barrel on Tuesday, extending the previous session’s gains as renewed hostilities in the Middle East heightened concerns over potential disruptions to regional energy supplies.
  • US forces struck two Iranian rocket launchers on Larak Island, while Iran responded with attacks on targets in the UAE and Jordan, marking a resumption of US-Iran hostilities after nearly a month of relative calm.
  • Natural gas may trade with mixed path as it can move in range of 273-283.

 

Important Pivot Levels
Contracts Expiry S2 S1 R1 R2
GOLD OCT 150000 152000 156000 158000
SILVER DEC 230000 235000 245000 250000
CRUDEOIL SEP 8000 8100 8400 8500
NATURAL GAS SEP 260 270 285 290
COPPER SEP 1370 1380 1400 1410
ZINC SEP 390 410 430 450
LEAD SEP 186 192 206 213
ALUMINIUM SEP 340 340 355 365
GUARSEED SEP 6200 6400 6750 6900
COCUDAKL SEP 2600 2800 3200 3300
COMEX($) AND NYMEX($)
GOLD SPOT 4250 4300 4550 4600
SILVER SPOT 62 63 68 70
CRUDE OIL WTI SPOT 80 82 87 89
NG SPOT 2.5 2.4 3.4 3.6
ECONOMIC CALENDER
DATE TIME(IST) COUNTRY ECONOMIC EVENT FORECAST PREVIOUS
1 Sep 2026
19:15 US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug) 53.2 53.2
19:30 US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Aug) 55.3 55.6
19:30 US JOLTS Job Openings (Jul) 7.359M
19:30 US Construction Spending (MoM) (Jul) -0.10%

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