- Bullions counter may trade on firm note as gold rose to a one-week high on Monday, after U.S. strikes in Venezuela added to bullion’s safe-haven appeal. Gold posted a 64% gain last year, driven by geopolitical flashpoints and the U.S. Federal Reserve’s rate-easing cycle. Expectations of even lower rates, along with central bank buying and ETF flows gave further support.
Commodity Morning Trading Guide
BULLIONS
- Bullions counter may trade on firm note as gold rose to a one-week high on Monday, after U.S. strikes in Venezuela added to bullion’s safe-haven appeal. Gold posted a 64% gain last year, driven by geopolitical flashpoints and the U.S. Federal Reserve’s rate-easing cycle. Expectations of even lower rates, along with central bank buying and ETF flows gave further support.
- Overall Gold (Feb) can move in range of 136000-140000 while silver (Mar) can move in range of 247000-260000.
- The U.S. attacked Venezuela and deposed President Nicolas Maduro on Saturday, in Washington’s most direct intervention in Latin America since the 1989 invasion of Panama.
- President Donald Trump warned of another strike if Caracas resists U.S. efforts to open up its oil industry and stop drug trafficking, and suggested possible action against Colombia and Mexico over illicit drug flows.
BASE METALS
- In base metal counter, Copper (Jan) prices can trade on upside path as it can move in range of 1300-1345. Copper prices soared to records above $13,000 a metric ton on Monday, driven by fears of shortages and expectations turmoil in Venezuela could accelerate the broader race to secure critical minerals.
- Expectations of strong demand growth from data centres needed for artificial intelligence and electric vehicles helped fuel a 40% increase last year in prices of the metal used to make power cables.
- Aluminum (Jan) prices can trade on mixed path as it may move in range of 305-315.while Zinc (Jan) may move on volatile path as it may trade in range of 309-316.
- Many existing mines have been run at or well beyond their initial design capacity for many years, raising the risk of catastrophic failure as seen with the mud rush failure at Grasberg in Indonesia.
ENERGY
- Crude oil (Jan) may trade on upside path as it can move in range of 5200-5310. Crude oil prices settled higher by 2.23% at 5,270, supported by OPEC+ reiterating its commitment to keep output unchanged during the first quarter and renewed geopolitical tensions surrounding Venezuela. Supply risks increased after US forces intensified actions against Venezuelan oil infrastructure, prompting well shut-ins as storage capacity filled.
- Natural gas (Jan) may trade on weaker path as it can move in range of 300-320. Natural gas hit a new retracement low before rebounding intraday, hinting at a hammer reversal, though continued weakness below the 200-day average keeps downside risks active.


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