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Commodity
02-Sep-20261 min readSandeep Globe

Commodity Morning Trading Guide

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Bullions counter may trade on lower path as gold dropped more than 2% ​on Tuesday to a two-week low as elevated Treasury yields and a stronger ‌U.S. dollar weighed on prices, while bullion’s break below its 200-day moving average triggered additional technical selling.

MORNING RECOMMENDATION
Our Recommendations
Contracts Previous Close Target Stop loss Recommendation
COPPER (SEP) 1372.4 1359 1368 SELL NEAR @ 1365

BULLIION

  • Bullions counter may trade on lower path as gold dropped more than 2% ​on Tuesday to a two-week low as elevated Treasury yields and a stronger ‌U.S. dollar weighed on prices, while bullion’s break below its 200-day moving average triggered additional technical selling.
  • Gold (Oct) can move in range of 148000-152000 while silver (Dec) can move in range of 225000-240000. U.S. Treasury yields rose to their highest since January 2025 on Tuesday as rising tensions in the Middle East stoked inflation fears and triggered a global bond selloff.
  • Although gold is traditionally viewed as a hedge against inflation, rising interest rates and higher yields on Treasuries typically pressure ‌gold as ⁠they raise the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding asset. The dollar also gained, making greenback-priced gold more expensive to overseas buyers.
  • Investors are now ⁠looking ahead to the ADP employment report on Wednesday and non-farm payrolls data on Friday for fresh clues on economic policy.

BASE METALS

  • In base metal counter, Copper prices can trade sideways path as it can move in range of 1350-1380. Copper fell for a second day, dropping with other metals, as resurgent oil prices fanned concerns about prospects for the world economy.
  • Aluminum prices can trade on mixed path as it may move in range of 340-350. The aluminium market is betting that increased exports from China and Indonesia can offset the loss of production in the Gulf region due to the Iran war.

ENERGY

  • Crude oil may trade on firm path as it can move in range of 8450-8750. Oil prices rose in early trade on Wednesday, extending the previous session’s surge, as concerns over supply disruption intensified after the U.S. and Iran exchanged ‌strikes overnight, dimming hopes for a quick easing of tensions in the Middle East.
  • The U.S. said it had launched a series of airstrikes against targets in Iran overnight, prompting a response from Tehran, in ⁠the most serious escalation of the conflict between the two countries in weeks.
  • The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said the ​U.S. attacks would further restrict traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway that carried about one-fifth of the ​global oil consumed before the conflict and which Iran has effectively closed to commercial shipping.
  • Natural gas may trade with firm path as it can move in range of 275-287.
Important Pivot Levels
Contracts Expiry S2 S1 R1 R2
GOLD OCT 146000 148000 152000 154000
SILVER DEC 226000 228000 238000 240000
CRUDEOIL SEP 8300 8450 8750 8850
NATURAL GAS SEP 260 270 290 300
COPPER SEP 1330 1340 1380 1400
ZINC SEP 390 407 420 440
LEAD SEP 186 192 206 213
ALUMINIUM SEP 340 340 355 365
GUARSEED SEP 6200 6400 6750 6900
COCUDAKL SEP 2600 2800 3200 3300
COMEX($) AND NYMEX($)
GOLD SPOT 4100 4200 4400 4500
SILVER SPOT 62 63 68 70
CRUDE OIL WTI SPOT 85 87 92 94
NG SPOT 2.5 2.4 3.4 3.6
ECONOMIC CALENDER
DATE TIME(IST) COUNTRY ECONOMIC EVENT FORECAST PREVIOUS
2 Sep 2026
17:45 US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Aug) 44K
19:30 US Factory Orders (MoM) (Jul) -0.30%
20:00 US Crude Oil Inventories 0.095M
20:00 US Cushing Crude Oil Inventories 1.176M

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