Commodity Morning Trading Guide | Globe Capital Market LTD.
02-Aug-2024
Commodity Morning Trading Guide

Bullions counter may remain on positive path as yellow metal firmed and were set for a weekly gain, driven by prospects of a Fed rate cut in September and rising tensions in the Middle East, while market participants awaited U.S. nonfarm payrolls data for further direction.

Report Overview

BULLIONS
•Bullions counter may remain on positive path as yellow metal firmed and were set for a weekly gain, driven by prospects of a Fed rate cut in September and rising tensions in the Middle East, while market participants awaited U.S. nonfarm payrolls data for further direction.
•Overall gold can move in range of 70100- 70500 while silver also can move in range of 83000 -85000.
•Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stated that interest rates could be cut as soon as September if the U.S. economy follows its expected path.
•On the geopolitical front, the head of Hamas’ military wing, Mohammed Deif, was killed in an Israeli airstrike in Gaza last month, the Israeli military said on Thursday, a day after the group’s political leader was assassinated in Tehran.

BASE METALS
•In base metal counter, Copper prices can trade on weaker path as it can move range of 785-798. Prices of copper, often seen as an economic bellwether, were little changed on a weekly basis after three straight weeks of declines, with subdued demand, high inventories and a lack of specific stimulus from China for its struggling housing sector weighing on the market.
•Base metals fell on Friday as weak manufacturing data from the United States and China exacerbated worries about the global economic outlook and sparked more demand concerns.
•Investors were awaiting the monthly payrolls report from the United States later in the day to gauge the health of the world’s largest economy.
•Aluminium prices are expected to move in range of 208-214.

ENERGY
•Crude oil may trade volatile path as it may move in range of 6400-6500 as oil prices rose on Friday but were set for a fourth weekly decline as signs of disappointing global fuel demand growth outweighed fears of supply disruptions in the key Middle East production region.
•On a weekly basis, Brent futures are on track to fall 1.7%, while WTI futures are set to drop 1.1%. The four weeks of declines are set to be the longest losing streak for both benchmarks since a seven-week streak of weekly losses that ended in early December.
•Oil investors are also cautiously watching developments in the Middle East, where the killing of senior leaders of Iran-aligned militant groups Hamas and Hezbollah stoked fears that the region could be on the brink of an all-out war and potentially disrupt supplies.
•Natural gas can remain on lower path as it can move in range of 164-176.

Disclosure

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